Core Insights - The "China Energy Outlook (2025-2060)" report indicates that the reduction and substitution of fossil energy will be crucial for China to achieve its carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals [1][2][3] Group 1: Carbon Emissions and Industry Impact - Energy activities account for nearly 90% of China's total carbon dioxide emissions and about 30% of global energy-related emissions, making it a key area for achieving "dual carbon" goals [1] - In 2024, carbon emissions from energy activities are projected to be approximately 11.2 billion tons, reflecting a 1.2% increase from the previous year, with the power generation, steel, chemical, and building materials industries contributing to about 80% of total emissions [1][2] Group 2: Future Projections and Trends - The report forecasts that coal consumption will peak between 2026 and 2028, while oil consumption will remain stable with a slight decline from its current plateau [2] - By 2030, energy-related carbon emissions are expected to reach a peak range of 11.4 to 11.6 billion tons, and by 2035, they are projected to decrease to around 10.8 billion tons, approximately 6% lower than the peak [2] Group 3: Long-term Carbon Neutrality Goals - The report suggests that through fossil energy reduction, large-scale development of carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), and forest carbon sinks, China can achieve carbon neutrality by 2060 [3] - From 2036 to 2060, carbon emissions are expected to decline rapidly, reaching approximately 9.5 billion tons in 2040, 6 billion tons in 2050, and 2.3 billion tons by 2060 [3] - By 2060, CCUS is anticipated to contribute to a reduction of about 1.3 billion tons of carbon emissions annually, alongside land-based forest carbon sinks capable of absorbing 1.5 to 2 billion tons per year, facilitating the achievement of national carbon neutrality [3]