模拟代养
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新五丰(600975):2025 三季报点评:净利随猪价回落承压,代养模式进一步优化
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-06 14:47
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][23] Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 increased by 2.27% year-on-year to 5.39 billion yuan, but the net profit attributable to shareholders turned to a loss of 0.13 billion yuan [1][9] - In Q3 2025, the revenue decreased by 16.47% year-on-year to 1.70 billion yuan, with a net profit loss of 0.58 billion yuan, primarily due to a decline in pig prices [1][9] - The company has established a complete industrial chain system with an annual slaughter capacity of 2.05 million pigs and an annual feed production capacity of 120,000 tons [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 5.39 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 2.27%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 0.13 billion yuan [1][9] - In Q3 2025, the average selling price of pigs was approximately 13.87 yuan/kg, down from 14.47 yuan/kg in the previous quarters [1][9] - The total number of pigs sold in Q1-Q3 2025 reached 3.5555 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 14% [1][9] Operational Strategy - The company is enhancing its core breeding competitiveness through the acquisition of high-quality breeding assets and promoting a "company + farmer" model, which has led to a cooperative scale of 690,000 pigs [2][3] - The company is focusing on a light-asset expansion strategy, with 80% of its breeding capacity coming from leased farms [2][3] Cost and Financial Health - The company has significant room for cost improvement, with plans to optimize breeding efficiency and reduce overhead costs as production capacity utilization increases [3] - As of Q3 2025, the company had cash reserves of 1.076 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 73.22% [3][9]