Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 154 HKD, indicating an upside potential of over 80% from the current price of 85.8 HKD [8]. Core Insights - The report highlights a new cycle logic in the pig farming industry, driven by supply-demand dynamics and policy interventions, which may lead to a phase of capacity reduction and recovery challenges [6][45]. - The company is positioned as a leading integrated livestock farming enterprise in China, focusing on pig and poultry farming, with a strong emphasis on cost management and innovative farming models [17][30]. Industry Overview - The pig farming sector is experiencing a supply surplus and weak demand, leading to a potential decline in pig prices and reduced profitability for farmers [1][44]. - The chicken market is expected to see a marginal recovery in prices in the second half of the year, driven by improving consumer demand and seasonal consumption patterns [2][56]. Company Overview - The company has developed a unique farming model that integrates traditional farming with innovative practices, allowing for rapid expansion and improved farmer collaboration [3][57]. - The pig farming segment has shown significant growth, with a projected output of 11 million pigs by 2025, contributing to an estimated market value of 33 billion CNY [6][30]. - The poultry segment has also seen a doubling of market share from 1.3% in 2018 to 2.6% in 2024, driven by a diversified product matrix and improved breeding techniques [4][30]. Business Segments - The pig farming business leverages a dual farming model, enhancing resource sharing and operational efficiency, which has resulted in a competitive cost structure [3][57]. - The chicken business focuses on breeding and product diversification, responding to market trends and consumer preferences, which is expected to support future price elasticity [4][56]. - The company's slaughtering operations are expanding, aligning with industry trends towards vertical integration and enhanced food processing capabilities [5][30].

Group 1 - The early harvesting of greenhouse-grown Yangmei in Cixi, Zhejiang, occurs approximately 20 days earlier than traditional open-field Yangmei, marking a busy season for local farmers [1][4] - Cixi's Yangmei planting area is projected to reach over 90,000 acres by 2025, with an expected total yield of 67,000 tons, representing a 2% year-on-year increase [4] - The local government is facilitating the sales of Yangmei by promoting centralized purchasing and packaging through strong village companies, as well as utilizing "shared cold storage" for better distribution [6] Group 2 - In Lankai, Zhejiang, the introduction of greenhouse cultivation has significantly improved the yield and quality of Yangmei, with over 5,000 acres currently under greenhouse cultivation [7][17] - The overall industry value of Yangmei in Lankai has reached nearly 1.5 billion yuan, with a complete supply chain established from wholesale to deep processing [17] - The innovative greenhouse design has evolved from basic structures to advanced smart greenhouses capable of automated climate control, enhancing production efficiency [15]

Core Viewpoint - The event highlighted the significant growth and strategic vision of the company, emphasizing its transformation from a traditional farming operation to a modern agricultural enterprise, with a focus on sustainable development and innovation [1][2]. Financial Performance - From 2015 to 2024, the company's total assets increased by 2.87 times, total revenue grew by 2.18 times, and net assets rose by 1.91 times, with a cumulative net profit of 47.4 billion and cumulative dividends of 28.1 billion, achieving a dividend payout ratio of 60% [2]. - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 104.86 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.64%, and a net profit of 9.23 billion, marking a significant turnaround [2]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 24.32 billion, up 11.34% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.00 billion, indicating a strong start to the year [2]. Operational Highlights - The company achieved stable production and operations, with a reduction in costs and liabilities. The breeding stock of sows met annual targets ahead of schedule, and the production cost for piglets was reduced to below 290 yuan, while the comprehensive breeding cost for meat pigs was between 6.3 and 6.4 yuan per jin [2]. - In the poultry sector, the total cost for broilers was reduced to around 5.6 yuan per jin, and the company's debt ratio improved to approximately 51% with ample cash reserves [2]. Future Outlook - The company plans to continue its steady operations, focusing on technological innovation and digital transformation to enhance productivity and operational efficiency [3]. - The management aims to strengthen core competitiveness through cost reduction and refined management practices, expressing confidence in future growth and increased shareholder returns [3]. - The company intends to maintain a business ratio of 6:3:1 across pig farming, poultry, and other sectors, while also enhancing its food segment [3]. Strategic Discussions - During the interactive session, analysts raised questions about the company's dividend policy and market expansion strategies, to which the management reaffirmed its commitment to a stable dividend policy and promoting traditional chicken concepts to increase market share [4]. - The management also discussed strategies for short- and medium-term development in the pig and poultry sectors, focusing on productivity improvements and cost reductions through breeding technology and feed optimization [4]. - The company emphasized the competitiveness of its "company + farmer" model, highlighting plans for digital empowerment and enhancing the capabilities of professional farmers [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Tangrenshen, has shown significant growth in revenue and profit, with a focus on enhancing its competitive edge in the feed and pig farming sectors through innovative business models and improved operational efficiency [2][3][9]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 24.343 billion yuan and a net profit of 355 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 123.29%. The asset-liability ratio stood at 63.35%, with a net cash inflow from operating activities of 936 million yuan [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5.973 billion yuan, a 22.40% increase year-on-year, but a net loss of 77 million yuan, although this represented a 60.99% improvement compared to the previous year [2][9]. Business Segments Feed Business - The company is enhancing its feed business by providing high-value products and services to downstream customers, which has led to a 12.26% increase in feed exports in Q1 2025 [2]. - The current sales structure is primarily based on distribution, but the company is shifting towards direct sales to adapt to the growing scale of the farming industry [6][7]. Pig Farming Business - In 2024, the company reported a pig output of 4.3362 million heads, a 16.80% increase year-on-year, with a target of 5-5.5 million heads for 2025 [3]. - The company employs a "company + farmer" model, which is expected to account for approximately 78% of pig output in 2025, with further growth potential [3][4]. Cost Management Strategies - The company aims to reduce pig farming costs through several strategies, including replacing breeding stock with high-reproduction Dan pigs, improving production management, and enhancing feed cost efficiency through industry collaboration [5]. Market Dynamics - The rising prices of piglets are attributed to increased demand outpacing supply, driven by the accelerated scale of pig farming and the transformation of feed companies into pig farming [8]. Investment Insights - Recent institutional ratings indicate a positive outlook for the stock, with four buy ratings and a target average price of 6.91 yuan over the past 90 days [10]. - The company has seen a net inflow of 26.8584 million yuan in financing over the last three months, indicating growing investor interest [11].

Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 9.36 billion CNY, with a net cash inflow of 1.23 billion CNY [2] - For 2024, the projected operating income is 12.26 billion CNY, with a net profit of 243.43 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 123.29% [2] - The company's asset-liability ratio stands at 63.35%, with a year-on-year increase in operating cash flow of 22.40% [2] Group 2: Livestock Production - In 2024, the company is expected to have a pig output of 433.62 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 16.80%, with 90.18% being fat pigs [2] - By 2025, the company aims to achieve a pig output of 500-550 million heads, with a focus on low-cost breeding models [3] - The "company + farmer" model is projected to account for approximately 78% of the pig output by 2025, indicating potential for further growth [4] Group 3: Cost Reduction Strategies - The company plans to lower breeding costs by replacing with high-reproduction Dan pigs and improving management practices [6] - Expansion of the "company + farmer" model is expected to enhance production efficiency and management effectiveness [6] - Collaboration between feed and breeding businesses will leverage scale procurement advantages to reduce feed costs [6] Group 4: Feed Business Outlook - The current feed sales structure is primarily based on distribution, with a shift towards direct sales and innovative feeding assistance models [7] - The company aims to enhance feed sales through a "product + service" model, ensuring a reasonable sales structure for downstream feed customers [7] - Rising piglet prices are attributed to increased demand from large-scale producers and feed companies transitioning to breeding models [8]

Group 1: Company Overview and Strategy - Tangrenshen Group focuses on the pig farming industry, primarily in regions such as Hunan, Guangdong, and Guangxi, with future expansion plans in these areas [2] - The company employs a combination of "self-breeding and self-raising" and "company + farmer" models, with the latter expected to account for approximately 70% of pig output by 2024 [3] Group 2: Meat Product Development - The meat division integrates research, production, and sales, emphasizing Chinese-style specialty products and modern production bases [3] - The company is developing the "Xiangxiang Pig" brand and exploring fresh meat branding opportunities [3] Group 3: Feed Procurement and Cost Management - Tangrenshen implements centralized procurement for major feed ingredients, enhancing bargaining power and ensuring quality while controlling costs [3] - The company employs strategic purchasing and "futures hedging" strategies to mitigate risks associated with feed price fluctuations [3] Group 4: Stock Buyback and Financial Management - The company has conducted multiple stock buybacks, with the latest plan involving a budget of 50 million to 100 million yuan, having repurchased 4,610,100 shares, representing 0.32% of total shares [3] - The scale of the company's hedging activities is relatively small, focusing on mitigating price risks related to production and necessary raw materials [3]