欧洲股市盈利

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市场容忍度极低!高盛:欧洲财报“踩雷”股遭遇20年来最重惩罚
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 07:35
Core Viewpoint - European stock markets are facing the harshest punishment in decades for companies that fail to meet earnings expectations this quarter, as evidenced by the performance of the Stoxx Europe 600 index [1] Group 1: Earnings Performance - Goldman Sachs data indicates that stocks in the Stoxx Europe 600 index that missed earnings expectations or issued profit warnings underperformed the market by 2.3 percentage points, marking the worst performance since records began in 2005 [1] - The current earnings season has seen a lack of tolerance for weak financial reports, with analysts having already lowered expectations prior to the season due to the chaos and uncertainty caused by U.S. tariffs [4] - Over 80% of MSCI Europe index constituents have reported earnings, with Q2 earnings per share year-on-year remaining flat, contrary to analysts' expectations of a 4.8% decline [4] Group 2: Company-Specific Reactions - Renault's stock plummeted 18% after the company lowered its 2025 operating profit margin forecast [4] - Puma's shares fell 16% following its earnings report, with analysts warning of an "identity crisis" for the company [4] - Novo Nordisk issued a significant profit warning, leading to a market value loss of over $90 billion [4] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Economic Concerns - Market optimism regarding European growth has been partially priced in, leading to increased vulnerability in the face of downside risks and disappointment [4] - The Stoxx Europe 600 index is struggling to return to its historical high set in March, having lagged behind the S&P 500 index in the past three months as investors shift their focus back to the strong U.S. economy [5] - Concerns over the impact of U.S. tariffs on Eurozone economic growth are negatively affecting investor sentiment in Europe, highlighted by a significant drop in the Stoxx Europe 600 index following new tariffs announced by President Trump [5]