欧盟自主生存
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欧盟跌下神坛?真相很残酷:当中美俄不再供养,欧盟就原形毕露了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-01 13:21
Group 1 - The article discusses the decline of the European Union (EU) as a global power, particularly after the Russia-Ukraine conflict, highlighting internal divisions and external pressures from the US, China, and Russia [1][18][49] - The EU's previous economic stability was heavily reliant on low-cost energy from Russia, which accounted for 35% of its natural gas needs in 2021, supporting key industries and high welfare policies [5][12][18] - The shift in energy dynamics due to the conflict has led to skyrocketing energy prices, with wholesale gas prices reaching €50.85 per MWh, significantly impacting manufacturing and leading to production cuts in major companies like BASF [20][22] Group 2 - The article notes that the EU's manufacturing sector is facing unprecedented competition as China moves up the value chain, capturing 18% of the European electric vehicle market by 2024, offering products at 15%-20% lower prices than European counterparts [24][25] - The EU's reliance on external security provided by NATO has been exposed, with the US demanding increased military spending from EU members, which has led to budget cuts in social welfare programs [30][34] - Economic growth in the EU is projected to slow to 0.3% in 2024, with Germany experiencing negative growth for two consecutive years, raising concerns about deindustrialization as companies relocate to regions with lower costs [36] Group 3 - Social unrest is increasing in the EU, with strikes and protests occurring frequently due to high inflation and reduced welfare, indicating a decline in public trust in government [38] - Political divisions among member states are becoming more pronounced, with countries like Hungary and Slovakia opposing the EU's hardline stance against Russia, further weakening internal cohesion [40] - The EU has potential for recovery through its technological capabilities and infrastructure, but faces challenges in adapting traditional industries to market changes and achieving defense autonomy [42][44] Group 4 - The EU is undergoing a painful transformation from a welfare-dependent model to one that requires self-sufficiency in energy, security, and industry, necessitating a departure from past dependencies [47][49] - The European Commission's "European Recovery Plan" aims to invest €200 billion over five years in renewable energy and digital infrastructure, but its success hinges on member states' cooperation and ability to manage transitional challenges [50] - The future vitality of the EU will depend on its ability to confront reality and redefine its role in global competition, emphasizing the need for strategic autonomy [52]