转自：成都发布 大寒将尽，立春将至，正值乍暖还寒时。2026年的第一个月，成都天气呈现怎样的特点？即将进入2月，成都的天气又将有怎样的变化？1月30日，记者采 访了成都市气象台首席预报员韦玮。 成都1月平均气温较常年同期偏高 但为何体感依然这么冷？ 转眼间，2026年的第一个月已经接近尾声。成都市气象台首席预报员韦玮告诉记者，今年1月以来（1月1日—29日），成都天气气候呈现出气温显著偏 高、降水异常偏少、静稳天气多发的特征。我市平均气温6.6℃，较常年同期（5.8℃）偏高0.8℃；累计降水量2.3毫米，较常年同期（9.0毫米）偏少七 成；冷空气影响弱，以静风或弱风为主，早晚逆温层频繁出现，天气静稳。 平均气温较常年同期偏高，但为何体感依然这么冷？除了昼夜温差等因素外，还有就是南方冬天"湿冷"特征。记者从成都市气象台了解到，空气中的高湿 度加速人体热量散失，这让体感温度比实际温度冷上三分，就像冷空气在持续"偷走"体温。 除了气温之外，风力和相对湿度也是影响体感温度最重要的两个气象条件。根据气候资料统计，冬季时，南方相对湿度常常在70%以上，在这个湿度下， 实际温度为5℃的话，体感温度只有2.6℃，近乎打了对折 ...

Core Viewpoint - The weather in Guangdong is expected to gradually warm up, with temperatures significantly higher than the historical average for this time of year [1][3]. Weather Forecast Summary - On January 13, most areas in Guangdong will experience cloudy to sunny weather, with light fog in the western regions during early morning and evening. The minimum temperatures are forecasted to be between 5-8°C in northern areas, 13-15°C in southern coastal areas, and 9-12°C in other regions [3]. - On January 14, the western regions will transition from sunny to cloudy with isolated light rain, while most other areas will remain sunny to partly cloudy. Minimum temperatures will range from 7-9°C in northern areas, 13-16°C in southern coastal areas, and 10-12°C in other regions [3]. - On January 15, southern coastal and western Pearl River Delta areas will see cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered light rain, while most other areas will remain cloudy. Minimum temperatures are expected to be 9-11°C in northern areas, 16-19°C in southern coastal areas, and 12-15°C in other regions [3]. - The temperature in South China is projected to be significantly higher than the historical average, particularly in the Huanghuai to Jiangnan regions, where maximum temperatures may exceed the average by more than 10°C [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the unusual warm weather in China during the "San Jiu" period, which is typically the coldest time of the year, and questions whether this warm trend will continue [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Temperature Trends - The "San Jiu" period marks the coldest time of the year in China, with historical data indicating an average national temperature of -5.15°C during this time from 1991 to 2020 [1] - This year, the overall temperature during the "San Jiu" period is expected to remain above average, indicating a warmer winter compared to historical norms [1] Regional Variations - There is a notable disparity in temperature across different regions; areas such as eastern Inner Mongolia and Northeast China have experienced temperature drops exceeding 10°C due to cold air influences, while regions from North China to Jiangnan are experiencing warmer conditions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The current winter season in China is experiencing unusual warmth during the traditionally cold "San Jiu" period, with significant regional temperature variations observed across the country [1][3]. Group 1: Temperature Trends - The "San Jiu" period, typically the coldest time of the year, is expected to see overall higher temperatures this year, with many regions experiencing temperatures up to 2°C above the historical average [1][3]. - Historical data from 1991 to 2020 indicates that the coldest average temperature during "San Jiu" is -5.15°C, but this year, the temperature distribution will be uneven, with some areas like Inner Mongolia and Northeast China experiencing drops exceeding 10°C [3][5]. Group 2: Day-Night Temperature Variation - This year's "San Jiu" period is characterized by significant day-night temperature contrasts, particularly in southern regions where daytime highs may approach or exceed 20°C, while nighttime lows could drop below historical averages [5][7]. - The temperature difference between day and night in areas like Jiangnan could exceed 10°C, with some locations experiencing differences greater than 15°C, highlighting the stark contrast in temperature [5]. Group 3: Regional Weather Differences - Northern regions are expected to experience frequent cold air activity, leading to strong winds and snowfall, while southern areas will have warm days but cold nights, necessitating public awareness of weather changes [7].

Group 1 - In November, the average temperature in China was 4.2℃, which is 0.9℃ higher than the same period in previous years [1] - There were three cold air processes affecting China in November, which is 1.3 times less than the average for the same period [1] - A nationwide cold wave occurred from November 17 to 19, causing significant temperature drops in Northeast China and most of the central and eastern regions, with the maximum drop exceeding 14℃ in 11 national stations [1] Group 2 - Looking ahead, it is expected that three cold air masses will influence China in the next ten days, but their overall intensity will be weak, with less precipitation and higher overall temperatures [1] - In December, temperatures in the northeastern region's central and northern parts, eastern Inner Mongolia, and northern Xinjiang are expected to be lower than the same period in previous years, while most other areas will have temperatures close to or higher than the historical average [1] - The southern agricultural regions may face risks of frost damage, and preparations for wind and cold resistance in agricultural and livestock facilities are advised [2]

Core Viewpoint - The weather forecast for the 2025 "Three Autumns" period in Henan province indicates above-average rainfall and higher temperatures, necessitating precautions against the impact of rainy weather on autumn grain maturation and harvesting [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Weather Trends - The average rainfall during the main flood season (June to August) was 303 millimeters, which is 20% less than the historical average, while the average temperature was 28.8°C, 2.4°C higher than the historical average, marking the highest level since 1961 [1] - The characteristics observed include weak rainfall but strong heat, prolonged high temperatures, and significant periodic meteorological drought [1] Recent Rainfall Patterns - Since September, significant autumn rain patterns have emerged, with a total rainfall of 212 millimeters, which is 2.4 times more than the historical average for the same period, representing the highest value since 1961 [1] Upcoming Weather Forecast - The provincial meteorological station predicts that from September 22 to 23, most areas north of the Huai River will experience above-average rainfall, while other counties will be close to the historical average [1] - Rainfall events are expected to occur from September 26 to 28, with thunderstorms and localized moderate rain in the western and southern regions [1] - The forecast for early to mid-October indicates light to moderate rain across most areas, with specific rain events expected on October 2 to 3 and from October 4 to 6 [1]