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三美股份(603379):制冷剂上涨趋势延续 看好公司业绩持续增长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:40
Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing significant growth in net profit due to the rapid increase in refrigerant prices, with substantial year-on-year increases projected for 2024 and Q1 2025 [1][2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 4.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.17% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 779 million yuan, up 178.40% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.21 billion yuan, a 26.42% increase year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 401 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 159.59% [1] Refrigerant Market Dynamics - The company's refrigerant sales volume reached 125,400 tons in 2024, a 1.65% increase year-on-year [2] - The average selling price of refrigerants for 2024 was 26,100 yuan per ton, up 28.17% year-on-year [2] - In Q1 2025, the average selling price of refrigerants rose to 37,400 yuan per ton, marking a 56.92% year-on-year increase [2] - The supply quotas for second-generation refrigerants have been significantly reduced, with R22 quotas down by 18% and R142b by 64% [2] Price Trends - As of April 28, 2025, the price of R32 was 48,000 yuan per ton, with a price difference of 32,970 yuan per ton, reflecting a 3% increase [3] - The price of R22 remained stable at 36,000 yuan per ton, with no change in price difference [3] - R134a and R152a also saw price increases of 1% and 6% respectively compared to early April [3] Strategic Investments - The company is actively investing in the fluorinated refrigerants, fluorochemical products, and fluoropolymers sectors [4] - Projects include a lithium hexafluorophosphate production facility with an annual capacity of 6,000 tons and a fluoropolymer project with a capacity of 5,000 tons [4] - The company is also advancing various technological and infrastructure projects to enhance its production capabilities [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing structural reforms in the supply side of the refrigerant market, leading to a more concentrated competitive landscape [6] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.598 billion, 1.844 billion, and 1.959 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 105.3%, 15.4%, and 6.2% [6] - The diluted EPS for the same period is forecasted to be 2.62, 3.02, and 3.21 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.3, 14.1, and 13.3 [6]