氢能产业政策

Search documents
亏损加剧、商业化遇阻,氢燃料电池汽车深陷“政策依赖症”
经济观察报· 2025-06-08 04:21
Core Viewpoint - The hydrogen fuel cell vehicle industry is facing significant challenges, including increased losses among companies, a lack of effective commercialization, and the impending expiration of supportive policies by 2025, prompting urgent calls for new policy measures and financial support [3][5][15]. Group 1: Financial Performance of Hydrogen Fuel Cell Companies - Companies in the hydrogen fuel cell sector are experiencing heightened losses due to multiple factors, including accounts receivable crises, excessive R&D investments, and declining stack prices [3][8]. - In 2024, major companies like Yihuatong reported a revenue drop of 54.21% to 367 million yuan, with net losses expanding to 456 million yuan. Collectively, four leading firms faced losses exceeding 1.81 billion yuan, with an average loss increase of over 60% [3][7]. - The cash flow crisis is exacerbated by delayed government subsidies, leading to a paradox where increased subsidies do not alleviate cash flow issues [8][9]. Group 2: Commercialization Challenges - The hydrogen energy industry has not achieved effective commercialization, primarily due to the mismatch between hydrogen production costs and terminal demand, as well as a lack of diverse application scenarios [11][12]. - Currently, green hydrogen accounts for less than 10% of production, with gray hydrogen being the predominant source, leading to significant cost disparities (gray hydrogen at approximately 10 yuan/kg versus green hydrogen at 30-40 yuan/kg) [11][12]. - The logistics sector, which is highly cost-sensitive, faces challenges in scaling up hydrogen fuel cell vehicles due to high lifecycle fuel costs compared to diesel vehicles [13]. Group 3: Policy and Industry Demands - Industry stakeholders are calling for continuous policy support, a national hydrogen network, specialized financing channels, cost reduction strategies for green hydrogen, and the diversification of application scenarios [15][18]. - There is a consensus on the need for a long-term mechanism to prevent policy gaps that could hinder capital investment and technological progress [16]. - The establishment of a national hydrogen energy fund and the promotion of green hydrogen through mandatory quotas in industrial sectors are seen as essential steps for the industry's growth [17][18]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite current difficulties, there is optimism within the industry regarding the potential for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles to achieve cost parity with traditional fuel vehicles within the next 3-5 years [19]. - The upcoming years are critical for the industry, with expectations that companies lacking core competitiveness may be eliminated, while strong players could thrive [19].