Core Insights - The company reported a 12.9% year-on-year decline in total revenue and a 24.4% drop in net profit attributable to shareholders for FY26H1, amounting to HKD 5.18 billion and HKD 570 million respectively, primarily due to fluctuations in the mainland real estate market and a decrease in water connection income [1] - Despite the overall decline, the core water supply business showed growth, with related revenue and water sales increasing by 4.5% and 5.0% to HKD 1.80 billion and 7.6 million tons respectively [1] - The company has accelerated water price increases, with 8 water supply projects approved for price hikes, achieving the annual target of 8 to 10 projects, which is expected to exceed expectations for FY26 [1] Financial Performance - The company's capital expenditure decreased by 31.8% year-on-year to HKD 1.24 billion for FY26H1, with a full-year target of less than HKD 2 billion, representing a decline of at least 40.4% [2] - The reduction in capital expenditure is anticipated to support the company's high dividend policy [2] Ratings and Forecasts - The company has revised down its net profit forecasts for FY26-28 by 10.8%, 14.8%, and 14.8% respectively, and adjusted the target price from HKD 6.90 to HKD 6.52, reflecting a potential upside of 10.1% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.5 times for FY27 [2] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating based on the FY26H1 performance and anticipated water price increases [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Water Affairs (855 HK) with a target price adjusted to HKD 6.52, reflecting a potential upside of 10.1% from the current price of HKD 5.92 [5][8]. Core Insights - Despite a decline in overall revenue and net profit for FY26H1, the core water supply business showed resilience with a revenue increase of 4.5% and a sales volume increase of 5.0% [2][5]. - The company has accelerated its water price adjustments, with 8 projects approved for price increases, surpassing the annual target of 8 to 10 projects [3][5]. - A significant reduction in capital expenditure by 31.8% to HKD 12.4 billion in FY26H1 is expected to support the company's high dividend policy [4][5]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY26H1, total revenue and net profit decreased by 12.9% and 24.4% year-on-year, amounting to HKD 5.18 billion and HKD 570 million respectively [1][5]. - The water supply connection revenue fell by 28.6% to HKD 560 million, primarily due to fluctuations in the mainland real estate market [1][5]. - The wastewater treatment service revenue increased by 14.5% to HKD 360 million, driven by the Huizhou Mobil project contributing revenue since FY25 [2][5]. Revenue and Profit Forecast Adjustments - The forecast for shareholder net profit has been reduced by 10.8%, 14.8%, and 14.8% for FY26, FY27, and FY28 respectively [5][17]. - The target price adjustment reflects these changes, with the new estimates indicating a decrease in revenue projections for FY26 to HKD 9.899 billion, down from previous forecasts [5][17].