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环保行业2025Q3基金持仓:板块持仓下降,行业不乏绝对收益、边际向好、景气主题标的
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-04 23:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the environmental industry [10]. Core Insights - The environmental sector's heavy positions in public funds have decreased, with the top ten holdings totaling approximately 5.438 billion yuan, accounting for 0.13% of all disclosed fund stock holdings, a decrease of 0.10 percentage points from the previous quarter [2][4][18]. - The A-share environmental sector is currently underweight, with a standard allocation ratio of 0.94% as of the end of Q3 2025 [4][18]. - The report highlights three investment styles in the environmental sector for Q3: market hot themes, absolute returns, and marginal changes [7][33]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings - As of Q3 2025, the top heavy positions in public funds include Shanghai Xiba (0.91 billion yuan), Huanlan Environment (0.82 billion yuan), and Weiming Environmental (0.63 billion yuan) [5][29]. - The number of funds holding significant positions in leading companies reflects market attention, with Huanlan Environment leading with 59 funds [5][23]. Market Trends - The report notes a shift towards solid battery-related stocks and waste incineration leaders, indicating a growing market risk appetite [7][33]. - The environmental sector is experiencing a transition from government to business (ToB) and consumer (ToC) models, which is expected to improve cash flow and valuation recovery [19][35]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on companies with long-term value in waste incineration and water assets, such as Huanlan Environment, Guangda Environment, and Weiming Environmental [8][36]. - It emphasizes the importance of detecting service companies and environmental sanitation firms, highlighting potential growth in these areas [43]. Performance Metrics - The report indicates that the environmental sector's performance metrics are currently at historical lows, with a notable decline in heavy positions due to market concerns over subsidy adjustments and economic pressures [19][33]. - The report also discusses the potential for valuation recovery as companies explore new growth avenues and improve operational cash flows [19][35].