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豪能股份:1Q25业绩超预期,预计全年成长继续加速-20250508
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-08 10:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][8]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of 620 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13%, and a net profit of 104 million yuan, reflecting a 30% year-on-year growth [2][8]. - The company is projected to continue its rapid growth in 2025, with expectations of nearly 40% growth driven by the differential gear, military, and traditional businesses [8]. - The company aims to become a leading supplier in the domestic automotive transmission system and a core component supplier for robotics, with plans for new product development [8]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The total revenue is expected to grow from 2,360 million yuan in 2024 to 4,013 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.3%, 20.2%, 18.6%, and 19.2% respectively [4][9]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: The net profit is projected to increase from 322 million yuan in 2024 to 684 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 76.9%, 40.4%, 23.4%, and 22.8% respectively [4][9]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is expected to rise from 0.39 yuan in 2024 to 0.82 yuan in 2027 [4][9]. - **Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)**: The P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 37 in 2024 to 17 in 2027 [4][9]. - **Price Target**: The target price is adjusted to 16.3-19.0 yuan based on a projected P/E of 30-35 for 2025 [8].
豪能股份(603809):1Q25业绩超预期,预计全年成长继续加速
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-08 08:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][8][18]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of 620 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13%, and a net profit of 104 million yuan, up 30% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company is projected to continue its rapid growth in 2025, with expectations of nearly 40% growth driven by the differential gear and aerospace businesses [4][8]. - The company aims to become a leading supplier in the domestic automotive transmission system and a core component supplier for robotics, with plans for new product development [4][8]. Financial Summary - **2025 Financial Projections**: - Total revenue is expected to reach 2,837 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 20.2% [4]. - Net profit is projected at 452 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 40.4% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.54 yuan [4]. - **Valuation Metrics**: - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 26 times in 2025, decreasing to 17 times by 2027 [4]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decline from 3.2 in 2025 to 2.6 in 2027 [4]. - **Market Performance**: - The company's stock price target is set between 16.3 and 19.0 yuan, with the current price at 14.25 yuan [4][8]. Business Growth Drivers - The differential gear business is expected to see a revenue increase of 60% in 2025, contributing significantly to net profit growth [4][8]. - The aerospace business is anticipated to grow by over 30% in 2025, supported by increased downstream installation volumes [4][8]. - Traditional businesses are projected to grow by around 5% due to recovery in exports and heavy truck sales [4][8]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has signed an investment contract with the Chongqing government to develop a smart manufacturing core component project, with an initial investment of 1 billion yuan [4][8]. - Plans include the development of new products such as hollow motor shafts and reducers to capitalize on trends in electrification and supply chain specialization [4][8].