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中国工程院院士刘中民:智能化工技术助力实现“双碳”目标
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-07 01:15
Core Viewpoint - The launch of the intelligent chemical model 2.0Pro by Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics and iFlytek marks a significant technological advancement for China's chemical industry, facilitating the transition from laboratory to factory [1] Group 1: DMTO Technology and Its Impact - DMTO technology has been developed since the 1980s and has reached its third generation, with a single unit's methanol processing capacity now at 3.6 million tons per year [2] - The technology has signed contracts for 36 units, with a total capacity exceeding 24 million tons of olefins per year, of which 20 units are already in operation [2] - DMTO technology significantly reduces carbon emissions by about 50% compared to traditional coal combustion methods, making it a crucial direction for clean and efficient coal utilization [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The domestic petrochemical industry is accelerating its transformation towards "new chemical materials" amid rising international oil price volatility [2] - Under the "dual carbon" goals, renewable energy generation is expected to account for 35% of total power generation by 2024, leading to a predicted decline in domestic refined oil demand to 100 million tons by 2050, less than 30% of current levels [2] - DMTO technology, utilizing coal as a stable and controllable raw material, is positioned to meet the growing demand for high-end chemical products and new materials [2] Group 3: Challenges in Energy Transition - The complexity of China's energy and industrial systems poses challenges for scientific decision-making and the determination of technological pathways for energy transition [6] - The integration of artificial intelligence with scientific research and industrial development is still in the exploratory stage, indicating a need for deeper coupling to fully leverage its application value [6] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - To achieve energy security, the industry should focus on "oil-chemical switching" through catalytic technology, which can facilitate the production of both oil products and chemicals [8] - In the hydrogen energy and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) sectors, a systematic layout and original breakthroughs are essential to seize technological advantages [9] Group 5: Role of Artificial Intelligence - The rapid development of artificial intelligence presents new opportunities and challenges for traditional research fields, particularly in chemical engineering, which involves complex dynamic systems [14] - The goal is to develop intelligent chemical processes that can transition from laboratory to factory in a single step, addressing the long-standing challenges of scaling up chemical technology [14]
刘中民:智能化工技术助力实现“双碳”目标
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-18 01:18
Core Viewpoint - The development of DMTO technology is pivotal for the coal-to-olefins industry in China, significantly reducing carbon emissions and enhancing resource utilization efficiency [6][8]. Group 1: DMTO Technology and Its Impact - DMTO technology has been under research since the 1980s, with the first industrial application successfully launched in 2010, producing 1.8 million tons annually [6]. - The technology has evolved to its third generation, with a single unit capable of processing 3.6 million tons of methanol per year, and contracts for 36 units have been signed, totaling over 24 million tons of olefins per year [6]. - DMTO technology is crucial for alleviating oil supply shortages and ensuring energy security, with a significant reduction in CO2 emissions compared to traditional coal utilization methods [6][8]. Group 2: Market Trends and Future Prospects - The shift towards "chemical new materials" in the petrochemical industry is accelerating, driven by the dual carbon goals and increasing renewable energy capacity [8][9]. - The demand for high-end chemical products and new materials is expected to grow, despite a projected decline in refined oil demand by 2050 [8]. - DMTO technology, utilizing coal as a stable and cost-effective raw material, is positioned to meet the increasing demand for olefins and chemical products [8][9]. Group 3: Challenges in Energy Transition - The complexity of China's energy and industrial systems poses challenges for scientific decision-making and the identification of effective technological pathways for energy transition [12]. - The integration of artificial intelligence in research and production processes is still in the exploratory phase, with significant potential to enhance efficiency and innovation in the chemical industry [12][23]. Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - To achieve a successful energy transition, a systematic approach combining original breakthroughs and technological integration is essential, particularly in hydrogen energy and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) [15]. - The collaboration between traditional coal chemical processes and renewable energy sources is vital for achieving low-carbon and zero-carbon production methods [16][17]. Group 5: Innovation and Research Development - The relationship between basic research and industrial application can create a virtuous cycle, as demonstrated by the development of DMTO technology over the past decades [21][22]. - The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence presents new opportunities for the chemical industry, enabling a shift from laboratory experiments to industrial applications [23].