油料供应收紧

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市场快讯:美农8月供需报告,收紧四季度油料供应
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2025-08-13 07:15
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating. Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The August USDA supply and demand report tightened the supply of oilseeds in the fourth quarter [1]. - In the domestic market, the supply of oilseeds will tighten in the fourth quarter, and the vegetable oil and soybean meal sectors are likely to rise, suggesting buying on dips [5]. - The August USDA supply - and - demand report was overall bullish, laying the foundation for a tightened global soybean supply in the second half of the year [8]. Group 3: Summary by Related Content US Soybean Supply and Demand - The US soybean planting area was 80.9 million acres (July expectation: 83.4 million acres), the harvest area was 80.1 million acres (July expectation: 82.5 million acres), the yield per acre was 53.6 bushels (July expectation: 52.5 bushels), the production was 4.292 billion bushels (July expectation: 4.335 billion bushels), and the ending stocks were 290 million bushels (July expectation: 310 million bushels) [8]. - Argentina's soybean production was 50.9 million tons (July expectation: 49.9 million tons), Brazil's was 169 million tons (July expectation: 169 million tons), and the global ending stocks were 124.9 million tons (July expectation: 126.07 million tons) [8]. Domestic Situation - As of the report, China had not purchased US soybeans. The inventories of domestic soybeans and soybean meal had reached a phased peak and would decline later, tightening the supply. Coupled with the anti - dumping of Canadian rapeseed, the overall supply of domestic oilseeds would tighten in the fourth quarter [5].
市场快讯:美农8月供需报告收紧四季度油料供应
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2025-08-13 07:13
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention an industry investment rating. 2. Core View - The USDA's August supply - demand report is overall bullish, laying the foundation for a tightening of global soybean supply in the second half of the year. In the fourth quarter, the domestic overall oilseed supply will tighten, and the vegetable oil and double - low rapeseed sectors are likely to rise and difficult to fall, suggesting buying on dips [5][8]. 3. Key Points by Category Global Situation - The USDA's August supply - demand report is bullish, with the planted area unexpectedly reduced. The US soybean planted area is 80.9 million acres (July expectation: 83.4 million acres), the harvested area is 80.1 million acres (July expectation: 82.5 million acres), the yield per acre is 53.6 bushels (July expectation: 52.5 bushels), the production is 4.292 billion bushels (July expectation: 4.335 billion bushels), and the ending inventory is 290 million bushels (July expectation: 310 million bushels). Argentina's soybean production is 50.9 million tons (July expectation: 49.9 million tons), Brazil's is 169 million tons (July expectation: 169 million tons), and the global ending inventory is 124.9 million tons (July expectation: 126.07 million tons) [8]. Domestic Situation - As of the time of writing, China has not purchased US soybeans. Domestic soybean and soybean meal inventories have reached a phased peak and will decline later, laying the foundation for a tightening supply. Coupled with the anti - dumping of Canadian canola, the domestic overall oilseed supply will tighten in the fourth quarter [5].