招商轮船(601872.SH)公告称，招商轮船在投资者关系活动中介绍了今年8-11月VLCC现货市场运价走 势，主要归因于跨洋货盘增加、敏感油需求稳定和欧佩克+产量增加。近期原油和油轮运费市场情况显 示，全球原油市场供需博弈加剧，北海布伦特原油价格上涨但受限于过剩担忧。大西洋船位紧张，中东 现货运费较高，VLCC期租估价创三年新高。公司对未来两年VLCC运价中枢持乐观态度，预计2026年 运价中枢有望高于2025年。供给端约束方面，未来几年VLCC订单交付有限，旧船淘汰速度加快，预计 2028年下半年前船台有效供给不足。需求端方面，地缘政治影响持续，中国原油进口增加，全球炼油能 力紧张利好中游海运需求。 ...

Q2 2019 Highlights - VLCC average spot rate in the TI Pool was $23,218 per day, compared to $16,751 in Q2 2018[8] - VLCC average time charter rate was $27,165 per day, compared to $34,976 in Q2 2018[8] - Suezmax average spot rate was $17,217 per day, compared to $12,883 in Q2 2018[8] - Suezmax average time charter rate was $30,375 per day, compared to $20,882 in Q2 2018[8] - The company bought back shares totaling $29 million (13 cents per share) during the first half of the year[12] - A dividend of $0.06 per share for the first half of 2019 will be paid in October 2019[12] - For Q3, 65% of VLCC capacity has been fixed at approximately $20,600 per day[12] - For Q3, 58% of Suezmax capacity has been fixed at approximately $15,800 per day[12] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first semester of 2019 was $401.936 million, compared to $202.748 million in the first semester of 2018[13] - The company experienced a net loss of $38.556 million in Q2 2019, compared to a net loss of $51.602 million in Q2 2018[13] - Cash increased to $203.6 million in June 2019, compared to $173.0 million in December 2018[14] - Total liquidity increased to $858 million, including an undrawn secured revolving facility of $634 million and an undrawn unsecured credit line of $20 million[14, 16] Market Outlook and Themes - The company anticipates constructive large crude tanker market fundamentals into the winter[12] - VLCC ordering is near 5-year lows, indicating restricted contracting in large tankers[20, 21] - IMO 2020 disruption is expected to impact the market in the second half of 2019, with retrofitting potentially reducing fleet days by 3-5%[23]