Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported that by the end of September 2025, the total social financing scale reached 437.08 trillion yuan, marking an 8.7% year-on-year increase [1] - The report indicates a mixed performance in various lending categories, with significant growth in government bonds and a decline in foreign currency loans [1][3] Financing Structure - By the end of September, the balance of RMB loans to the real economy accounted for 61.1% of the total social financing scale, down 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The proportion of foreign currency loans was 0.3%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The balance of government bonds increased by 20.2% year-on-year, reaching 92.55 trillion yuan, while corporate bonds grew by 4.5% [1][2] Loan and Deposit Trends - The total balance of loans in both domestic and foreign currencies was 274.33 trillion yuan, with RMB loans at 270.39 trillion yuan, reflecting a 6.5% and 6.6% year-on-year growth, respectively [4] - In the first three quarters, RMB deposits increased by 22.71 trillion yuan, with household deposits rising by 12.73 trillion yuan [4] - The average interbank lending rate for RMB was 1.45% in September, indicating stable liquidity conditions [4] Cross-Border Transactions - In the first three quarters, the cross-border RMB settlement amount reached 13.06 trillion yuan, with goods trade accounting for 9.97 trillion yuan [5]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China released financial statistics for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a steady growth in various monetary aggregates, which reflects the central bank's monetary policy stance and economic conditions [1] Monetary Aggregates Summary - As of the end of September, the broad money supply (M2) reached 335.38 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 8.4% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 113.15 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 7.2% [1] - The currency in circulation (M0) amounted to 13.58 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.5% [1] - In the first three quarters, a net cash injection of 761.9 billion yuan was recorded [1]

Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - The two discount interest policies are an innovative exploration of fiscal and financial collaboration to boost consumption, aiming to support people's consumption needs and form a policy combination with existing subsidies [2] - The Fed may have the possibility to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, and the current interest rate should be 150 - 175 basis points lower [3] Summary by Related Catalogs Hot News - The Ministry of Finance will continue to summarize experience and improve processes for the two discount interest policies, which can work with existing consumer subsidies [2] - By the end of July, M2 balance was 329.94 trillion yuan, up 8.8% year - on - year; M1 balance was 111.06 trillion yuan, up 5.6% year - on - year; M0 balance was 13.28 trillion yuan, up 11.8% year - on - year. Net cash injection in the first seven months was 465.1 billion yuan [2] - China included two EU banks in the counter - measure list and prohibited domestic organizations and individuals from trading and cooperating with them [2] - In the first seven months, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan. Household loans increased by 68.07 billion yuan, with short - term loans decreasing by 38.3 billion yuan and medium - and long - term loans increasing by 1.06 trillion yuan [2] - The US Treasury Secretary believes the Fed should cut interest rates, and there is a possibility of a 50 - basis - point cut [3] Key Focus - Key commodities to focus on include coking coal, rapeseed meal, coke, soda ash, and caustic soda [4] Night - session Performance - The night - session performance shows different sector changes, with precious metals up 26.41%, non - ferrous metals up 21.22%, coal - coking - steel - ore up 15.30%, etc [4] Sector Positions - The chart shows the position changes of commodity futures sectors in the past five days [5] Performance of Major Asset Classes - Different asset classes have various performance indicators. For example, the Shanghai Composite Index had a daily increase of 0.48%, a monthly increase of 3.09%, and an annual increase of 9.90%; WTI crude oil had a daily decrease of 0.71%, a monthly decrease of 9.39%, and an annual decrease of 12.79% [6] Trends of Major Commodities - Charts display the trends of various commodities such as the Baltic Dry Index, CRB Spot Index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold, LME copper, etc [7]