海上风电装机

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专题:国内海风项目建设进展如何?
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-17 14:12
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Viewpoints - The market is focused on the construction pace of offshore wind projects expected to be connected to the grid in 2025, with an estimated addition of 10-12 GW of new capacity [2][4] - Major provinces contributing to the 2025 offshore wind capacity include Guangdong (4.4 GW), Jiangsu (2.7 GW), and Zhejiang (1.4 GW) [4][16] - The total capacity of offshore wind projects that have been tendered, approved, and competitively allocated is approximately 91.15 GW, indicating significant future growth potential [5][24] Summary by Sections 1. 2025 Offshore Wind Construction Progress - Approximately 10-12 GW of new offshore wind projects are expected to be connected to the grid in 2025, with specific contributions from various provinces [4][16] - The current status of projects includes approximately 1.60 GW tendered, 7.05 GW under construction, and 3.80 GW already connected [4][16] 2. Offshore Wind Project Reserve Capacity - The cumulative capacities for tendered, approved, and competitively allocated offshore wind projects are 17.4 GW, 24.3 GW, and 49.4 GW respectively, totaling about 91.15 GW [5][24] - Potential project capacities by region include Guangdong (28.9 GW), Zhejiang (10.5 GW), and Hainan (10.5 GW) [5][24] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes that offshore wind installations are expected to see significant growth in 2025, with a potential industry turning point as construction accelerates [7][41] - The approval process for deep-sea offshore wind projects is speeding up, which may open up long-term growth opportunities [7][41] - Continued recommendations focus on domestic offshore wind and related sectors such as pile foundations, submarine cables, and wind turbines [7][41]
海力风电(301155):合同负债历史高位,Q2海风交付有望加速放量
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-20 10:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.35 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 19.6%, while achieving a net profit of 70 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [2][4] - In Q4 2024, the revenue was 290 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 124.6%, although the net profit was negative at -20 million yuan [2][4] - For Q1 2025, the revenue surged to 440 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 251.5%, with a net profit of 60 million yuan, down 13.3% year-on-year [2][4] Financial Performance Summary - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 1.355 billion yuan, with a gross profit margin of 8% [10] - The breakdown of revenue by business segment for 2024 includes: tower tubes at 320 million yuan (-19%), pipe piles at 850 million yuan (-23%), and caissons at 140 million yuan (+7%) [10] - The gross profit margin for tower tubes, pipe piles, and caissons in 2024 is expected to be 7.9%, 4.3%, and 4.8% respectively [10] - The company’s contract liabilities reached 720 million yuan by the end of Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 359.7%, indicating a strong order backlog [10] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 750 million yuan in 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of about 18 times [10]