电力行业 2026 年度投资策略 证 券 研 究 报 告 推荐（维持） 看好海风成长潜力，火水核价值回归可期 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：霍鹏浩 邮箱：huopenghao@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524030001 证券分析师：吴晨玥 行业研究 电力及公用事业 2025 年 11 月 26 日 邮箱：wuchenyue@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523070001 证券分析师：梁婉怡 邮箱：liangwanyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080001 证券分析师：卢浩敏 邮箱：luhaomin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524090001 证券分析师：李清影 邮箱：liqingying@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525080004 联系人：刘邢雨 邮箱：liuxingyu@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 226 | 0.03 | | 总市值( ...

Core Viewpoint - The trend of decarbonization in the shipping industry is driving the continuous expansion of green methanol production capacity, while deep-sea economic policies are accelerating investments in offshore wind power [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - Breakthroughs in seawater hydrogen production technology have enabled the commercial model for producing green methanol from offshore wind power [1] - The new model for deep-sea scenarios is expected to demonstrate economic advantages by avoiding high investment costs associated with seabed cables [1] Group 2: Market Potential - The market space for marine green methanol engineering equipment during the 14th Five-Year Plan period is estimated to reach 24.2 billion yuan [1] - Companies involved in the industrialization process of marine engineering technology and core equipment suppliers for green hydrogen projects are recommended for investment [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Conventional land project investors are also viewed positively, as they are likely to achieve high project returns in an environment of green methanol supply shortages [1]

Northland Power (OTCPK:NPIC.F) 2025 Investor Day November 20, 2025 09:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsToby Edmonds - EVP of Offshore RenewablesAdam Beaumont - Head of Capital MarketsRebecca Teltscher - Portfolio ManagerMadison Goshani - Senior Specialist of Global CommunicationRob Hope - Director of Equity ResearchIan Pearce - Chair of BoardChristine Healy - CEOPierre-Emmanuel Frot - EVP of Project Management OfficeJeff Hart - CFOSean Steuart - Managing DirectorCalvin McCormick - EVP of AmericasConference Call ...

Core Insights - The "Ecological Civilization and Beautiful China Practice" side event at COP30 highlighted Hainan's achievements in ecological civilization and climate action [1][2] - Hainan has maintained a forest coverage rate above 62%, with air quality good days ratio consistently over 98%, and nearshore water quality excellent rate at 99.8% [1] - The province is conducting systematic blue carbon ecosystem surveys and has completed its first blue carbon credit transaction, injecting market dynamics into marine ecological protection [1] Environmental Protection Efforts - Hainan is focusing on becoming a "clean energy island" and "smart transportation" hub to accelerate its transition to a low-carbon future [1] - The province has approximately 25 million kilowatts of installed power capacity, with over 60% of new installations coming from renewable sources like wind and solar energy [1] - Nuclear power development is being advanced to provide stable and clean baseload power for the grid [1] Electric Vehicle Adoption - Hainan has achieved a penetration rate of over 60% for new energy vehicles, ranking first in China [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Province's GDP for the first three quarters of 2023 grew by 5.4% year-on-year, showcasing a balanced economic development with Suzhou leading in total output and a notable acceleration in Subei regions [1][2]. Economic Performance - The total GDP of Jiangsu's 13 cities reached approximately 7.5 trillion yuan, with Suzhou, Nanjing, and Wuxi being the top three contributors, accounting for nearly 55% of the province's GDP [2][3]. - Xuzhou and Huai'an led the province with a growth rate of 6.0%, indicating a strong performance in the Subei region [3][4]. Industrial Growth - Suzhou's industrial output value increased by 7.7%, with high-tech industries contributing significantly, while Xuzhou's industrial output grew by 7.0%, driven by robust equipment manufacturing [4][5]. - Huai'an, despite its lower total economic output, showed impressive growth in industrial metrics, outperforming the provincial averages [4]. Regional Dynamics - Xuzhou is on track to become Subei's first trillion-yuan city, which would reshape the economic landscape and enhance regional collaboration [5][6]. - The competition between Yancheng and Yangzhou is intensifying, with both cities focusing on different industrial strengths, contributing to Jiangsu's overall economic resilience [6]. Future Prospects - Jiangsu's economic landscape is expected to see further breakthroughs, particularly with Xuzhou's potential elevation to a trillion-yuan city, which would strengthen its role as a hub in the Huaihai Economic Zone [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - Hainan is accelerating its transition to a low-carbon future by building a "clean energy island" as a key driver in response to global climate change [1][5]. Group 1: Ecological Protection and Legislation - Hainan faces climate challenges such as rising sea levels and coral bleaching, and is implementing strict laws and regulations to protect its ecological environment [4]. - The province has established pioneering legislation, including China's first tropical rainforest national park regulations and local laws on ecological protection red lines, ensuring the preservation of its ecosystems [4]. - Hainan maintains a forest coverage rate of over 62%, with air quality good days consistently above 98%, and nearshore water quality rated at 99.8% [4]. Group 2: Energy Transition - Hainan is focusing on renewable energy sources, with over 60% of new power installations coming from wind and solar energy, making renewables the largest power source in the province [5]. - The province is also advancing the safe and efficient development of nuclear power to provide stable and clean base-load electricity [5]. - Hainan has achieved a penetration rate of over 60% for new energy vehicles, ranking first in China [5]. Group 3: Marine Environment and Carbon Sequestration - Hainan's extensive marine ecosystems, such as mangroves and seagrass beds, are effective "blue carbon" capture systems, and the province is conducting systematic assessments of these ecosystems [7]. - The first blue carbon carbon credit transaction in Hainan has been completed, injecting market dynamics into marine ecological protection efforts [7]. - Restoration of mangroves is aimed not only at protecting coastlines and biodiversity but also at contributing directly to carbon reduction efforts [7]. Group 4: Community Transformation and Economic Development - Hainan is addressing ecological degradation and climate risks by restoring coral reefs, seagrass beds, and mangroves, while also engaging local communities in cultural heritage [8]. - The average annual income of fishermen in Lingshui Li Autonomous County increased by approximately 19% after transitioning to the cultural tourism industry [8]. - Initiatives in Beigang Island demonstrate how environmental challenges can be transformed into development opportunities, showcasing a model of "win-win" for protection and development [8].

Industry News - China's largest gas storage facility has commenced its 13th cycle of gas extraction, injecting over 5 million cubic meters of natural gas into the pipeline to ensure supply for the upcoming winter and spring [2] - The output of recycled non-ferrous metals in China is expected to exceed 20 million tons by the end of 2025, marking a significant increase from 14.5 million tons at the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan, with an average annual growth rate of 7.2% [3] - China's offshore wind power capacity reached a cumulative installed capacity of 44.61 million kilowatts in the first three quarters of this year, maintaining its position as the world's leader for four consecutive years [3] - The world's first commercial supercritical carbon dioxide power generation unit has successfully completed grid debugging, paving the way for full-power operation [3] - A perovskite solar cell with a light-to-electricity conversion efficiency of 27.2% has been developed, significantly enhancing its operational stability and laying a foundation for industrialization [4] - China has made significant progress in the ITER project, with the successful final design review of key diagnostic systems, which is crucial for the manufacturing and delivery of the system [4] - In October, the sales of new energy vehicles in China surpassed 50% of total new car sales for the first time, indicating strong growth in the sector [4] International News - Russia is preparing to transfer nuclear technology to India, indicating a new level of cooperation in the nuclear energy sector, including discussions on small nuclear power plants [5] - Australia has released a net-zero emissions investment guide aimed at attracting international investment to support its net-zero emissions goals, focusing on key technologies and industries [6] Corporate News - Guizhou Energy Group has increased its registered capital from 10 billion RMB to 20 billion RMB, with the addition of Southwest Energy and Mining Group as a shareholder [7]

Core Insights - The white paper titled "2025 Annual Report on Hainan Province's Policies and Actions to Address Climate Change" was released, marking China's first provincial-level systematic disclosure of climate change policies and actions to the international community [1] - Hainan is recognized as a national ecological civilization pilot zone, focusing on high-quality construction of a low-carbon island and promoting a comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development [1] Policy and Action Overview - Hainan has integrated climate change responses into its overall economic and social development and free trade port construction layout, enhancing its climate change policy system since 2024 [1] - Key measures include accelerating the ecological protection and green development of Hainan Tropical Rainforest National Park and defining carbon reduction pathways in energy, industry, and transportation sectors [1] Green Industry Development - To mitigate climate change, Hainan is accelerating the green low-carbon transformation of its industrial structure, significantly developing offshore wind power, photovoltaics, energy storage, and smart grid industries [1] - The province is actively creating green factories [1] Energy Structure Transformation - By September 2025, the share of clean energy (including gas) in Hainan's power generation is expected to reach 70.3%, ranking among the top in the country [1] - The new power generation capacity in the province mainly comes from renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power, while the proportion of coal in primary energy consumption is gradually decreasing, projected to drop to around 20% by 2024 [1] Transportation Sector Initiatives - In the transportation sector, the proportion of new energy vehicles in Hainan's newly added vehicles ranks first among provincial-level regions in the country [2] - The province's new energy vehicle ownership accounts for the second-highest ratio among provincial regions nationwide [2] Ecosystem and Carbon Sink Enhancement - Hainan is actively promoting blue carbon development and application to enhance the carbon sink capacity of its ecosystems [2] - The province has maintained a forest coverage rate of over 62% through continuous afforestation and greening efforts, and has added nearly 30,000 acres of mangroves in the past five years [2] International Cooperation - Hainan emphasizes open cooperation to enhance climate governance capabilities, actively implementing national strategies for openness and international cooperation [2] - The province focuses on key areas of climate change response, forming a multi-level, multi-field, and comprehensive international cooperation framework [2]

Group 1 - The 2025 Offshore Wind Power Modern Industrial Chain Collaborative Action Conference and Dalian New Energy Industry Development Exchange Conference was held in Dalian, Liaoning on November 8 [1][2] - During the conference, a strategic cooperation agreement was signed between Dalian and the Three Gorges Group, and a list of technological challenges for offshore wind power was released, along with the establishment of the Offshore Wind Power Modern Industrial Chain Alliance [2] - Liaoning's Vice Governor and Governor Wang Xinwei highlighted the province's rich offshore wind resources, complete industrial ecosystem, strong innovation capabilities, and significant potential for large-scale utilization and high-quality development [2] Group 2 - In 2024, China added 4.04 million kilowatts of offshore wind power capacity, bringing the cumulative installed capacity to 41.27 million kilowatts, maintaining its position as the global leader for four consecutive years [3] - Liaoning has set a new development blueprint, planning to build 20 offshore wind farms with a total installed capacity of 13.1 million kilowatts during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [5] - The province aims to leverage its industrial foundation to become a global leader in wind power equipment manufacturing, with plans to develop two large offshore wind power bases exceeding 5 million kilowatts each and a manufacturing cluster with an output value exceeding 100 billion [5] Group 3 - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration recently issued guidelines to promote the scientific layout of offshore wind power and orderly development of nearshore and deep-sea wind power bases [6] - As China's offshore wind power industry accelerates its international expansion, Liaoning, a traditional industrial province, is expected to encounter new opportunities [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strategic development of offshore wind power in Liaoning, emphasizing its potential to become a global leader in the industry through collaboration with major companies like the Three Gorges Group [1][5]. - Liaoning has rich offshore wind resources and a well-established industrial ecosystem, with plans to build 20 offshore wind farms during the 14th Five-Year Plan, aiming for a total installed capacity of 13.1 million kilowatts [3][4]. - The province's coastline of 2,177 kilometers and an average wind speed of over 7.5 meters per second provide significant opportunities for wind energy development, positioning it as a "golden belt" for offshore wind power [3]. Group 2 - In 2024, China achieved a new milestone with an additional 4.04 million kilowatts of offshore wind power capacity, bringing the cumulative installed capacity to 41.27 million kilowatts, maintaining its position as the global leader for four consecutive years [2]. - The recent guidelines from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration emphasize the scientific layout of offshore wind power and the promotion of nearshore and deep-sea wind power development [4].