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机构论市:航空公司有望迎来业绩拐点
news flash· 2025-06-12 07:53
Group 1: Airline Industry - The airline industry is expected to experience a performance turning point due to favorable conditions in supply and demand, oil prices, and exchange rates [1] - Supply side factors include slow recovery of the supply chain, retirement of old aircraft, insufficient new orders, and impacts from US-China relations, leading to low growth in aircraft introduction over the next 2-3 years [1] - Forecasted industry supply growth (ASK) for 2025-2027 is 6.32%, 4.56%, and 2.26% respectively, while demand remains strong with high passenger load factors and stable ticket prices expected to increase year-on-year [1] Group 2: Construction Machinery Industry - The construction machinery industry is facing short-term pressure on domestic sales and operating rates, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to ongoing demand for equipment replacement and government support [2] - In the first quarter, there was high growth, but May saw a seasonal decline in excavator sales, which aligns with expectations [2] - Exports of construction machinery from January to April showed steady growth, with significant increases in exports to Africa and South America, and a positive performance in exports to Indonesia and Western Europe [2]