Core Viewpoint - The LCD panel prices are expected to decline in August 2025, with a potential increase in demand as the year-end sales season approaches [1][3][5]. Price Summary - In July 2025, the prices for 32, 43, 50, 55, and 65-inch LCD TV panels were $36, $63, $95, $121, and $170 respectively, with month-over-month declines of 5.3%, 1.6%, 7.8%, 5.5%, and 3.4% [1][3]. - Omdia forecasts that in August 2025, the prices will further decline to $34, $62, $92, $118, and $167, with respective month-over-month decreases of 5.6%, 1.6%, 3.2%, 2.5%, and 1.8% [1][3]. - For IT panels, prices for 10.1-inch, 14-inch, and 23.8-inch LCD panels remained stable at $16.3, $26.2, and $44.8 respectively in July 2025 [3]. Supply & Demand Analysis - In June 2025, the global shipment area for large-size LCD panels decreased by 3.46% year-over-year, with TV panel shipments down by 6.23% [4]. - The global large-size LCD production capacity is expected to grow by 2.31% in 2024 compared to 2023, with a slight increase of 0.21% anticipated in 2025 [4]. Industry Outlook - The LCD industry is stabilizing, with a concentration of market share due to the shutdown and sale of overseas production lines, which may help regulate LCD TV panel prices [5]. - The profitability of LCD panel companies is expected to improve as the cyclical nature of the industry diminishes and growth attributes become more prominent [5]. Investment Recommendations - The industry recommends investing in leading domestic panel manufacturers like BOE Technology Group (京东方A) to capitalize on the benefits of domestic consumption upgrades and market share advantages [6]. - Other recommended companies include Zhaochi Co., Ltd. (兆驰股份), Kangguan Technology (康冠科技), and Visionox Technology (视源股份) [6].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities expresses optimism about domestic panel leaders like BOE Technology Group (000725.SZ) capitalizing on the era of consumption upgrade and localization in China, leveraging scale effects, cost advantages, and market share to steadily improve profitability [1] Industry Overview - The LCD industry is experiencing a non-seasonal demand, with global large-size LCD panel revenue in February showing a month-on-month increase of 3.15% and a year-on-year increase of 18.88%, reaching $5.54 billion [2] - The average gross margin of major Chinese LCD manufacturers decreased by 0.77 percentage points year-on-year and 0.56 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 14.91% in Q3 2024, while net profit margin increased by 0.15 percentage points year-on-year but decreased by 0.69 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 1.75% [3] Price Trends - In March 2025, prices for various sizes of LCD TV panels increased month-on-month, with a forecast for April indicating stable prices across all sizes [4] - The prices for 10.1-inch, 14-inch, and 23.8-inch LCD IT panels remained stable in March 2025, with a slight increase in the 23.8-inch display panel price [4] Supply and Demand Dynamics - In February, the global large-size LCD panel shipment area grew by 28.27% year-on-year, with significant increases in shipments for TVs (31.54%), monitors (11.70%), notebooks (30.23%), and tablets (21.89%) [5] - The global large-size LCD production capacity is expected to grow by 2.31% in 2024 compared to 2023, with a slight increase in capacity expected in the first three quarters of 2024 [5] Market Outlook - The LCD industry is anticipated to stabilize in terms of capacity, with the potential for further concentration of market share due to the shutdown and sale of production lines by overseas manufacturers, which may help regulate LCD TV panel prices and enhance the profitability stability of LCD panel companies [6]