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港股资金面拆分
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港股资金跟踪新范式1:资金从何而起
Group 1 - The report introduces a "two-step" framework to analyze the funding landscape of the Hong Kong stock market, categorizing funds into long-term and short-term foreign capital, domestic capital, and Hong Kong capital [1][8][9] - Despite a marginal decline in the proportion of foreign capital, it continues to dominate the Hong Kong stock market, accounting for over 60% of the total funding, with stable foreign capital holding approximately 11.6 trillion HKD and flexible foreign capital around 5.2 trillion HKD as of May 13, 2025 [19][22][24] - The report highlights a significant increase in the proportion of southbound funds, which have gained marginal pricing power in the Hong Kong market, with their market value share rising from 8% in September 2020 to 20% by May 2025 [24][25][38] Group 2 - The trading behaviors of different funding types in the Hong Kong stock market exhibit clear differences, with stable foreign capital favoring long-term holdings, while flexible foreign capital tends to engage in short-term speculation [30][31] - Southbound funds show a lower turnover rate and a tendency to buy on dips, indicating a contrarian investment strategy, with a negative correlation between their net buying and the Hang Seng Index's performance [31][37] - Recent trends indicate that since March 2025, while foreign capital has been flowing out, southbound funds have been consistently flowing in, with a record net purchase of 356 billion HKD on April 9, 2025 [37][38]