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投资大咖说 | 从“长期持有”到“灵活交易”的迭代——访太平基金林开盛
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 00:34
"调研的方式有很多种,高效匹配自己的节奏才是关键。"林开盛更青睐券商策略会上的集中交流、上市 公司一对一的对话,以及一些与产业息息相关的大型展会。"例如,去一次展会,我能一次性实现对全 产业链硬件、软件的感性认知,效率远高于单次出差。"林开盛说。 他的投资理念里,藏着一个朴素的 目标:根据对大趋势的挖掘和理解做投资。"我希望在和市场上其他投资者面对同样的公开信息时,能 凭借历史积累和经验沉淀,梳理出更深入的洞见。"他坦言,自己常在某些个股涨了30%至50%后才明 白"上涨逻辑",但那些因为"信息差"而错过的标的并不可惜,因为在他的研究体系下,也可以通过对历 史规律的推演和股票市场的理解找到其他值得投资的方向。 而在控制回撤方面,他也有自己的心得: 一是通过配置低相关性的行业对冲风险;二是坚守"买在低位"的原则,降低个股波动率;三是严守止盈 纪律,在标的估值偏高时果断切换。 ◎记者 朱妍 从"长期持有"的价值信徒,到"灵活交易"的市场猎 手,八年半投资生涯,太平基金林开盛的投资框架经历了迭代。凭借对科技、化工等多轮产业行情的精 准把握,其管理的太平行业优选股票走出了一条独特的投资之路。 从"坐过山车"到"高低切 ...
从“长期持有”到“灵活交易”的迭代——访太平基金林开盛
Core Insights - The investment philosophy emphasizes understanding major trends and leveraging historical insights to identify investment opportunities [1][4] - A shift in investment strategy occurred in 2023, moving from a long-term buy-and-hold approach to a more flexible trading strategy that includes low-position entry, timely profit-taking, and sector rotation [2][3] Investment Strategy - The first phase of the investment career (2017-2022) focused on long-term value investing, with some stocks held for over a year, but faced challenges in timing profit-taking [2] - The second phase introduced a "low-position layout + trend-based profit-taking + high-low switching" strategy, allowing for dynamic adjustments based on market conditions [2][3] - The approach includes diversifying investments across low-correlated sectors to mitigate risks and adhering to strict profit-taking disciplines [5][7] Sector Focus - The chemical sector is highlighted as a key area for investment, with expectations of a "profit + valuation double boost" trend from 2022 to 2025, driven by supply-side adjustments and stable demand growth [6] - Specific segments within the chemical industry, such as spandex and organic silicon, are noted for their potential due to improving supply dynamics and strong pricing power among leading companies [6] Research Methodology - The research approach includes attending industry conferences and engaging in one-on-one dialogues with companies to gain comprehensive insights into the entire supply chain [1][4] - The ability to identify investment opportunities is enhanced by recognizing market discrepancies and leveraging historical patterns [4] Performance and Goals - The investment products have shown strong performance over the past three years, reflecting the effectiveness of the new trading strategy [3] - The goal is to maintain a balanced approach between sharp performance and low volatility, avoiding the pitfalls of being a single-sector focused fund manager [7]