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宝城期货热轧卷板周度数据-20250829
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 02:40
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core View - The supply and demand of hot-rolled coils are running stably. The production of plate mills is weakly stable, with the weekly output of hot-rolled coils decreasing by 0.50 million tons week-on-week, indicating a slight contraction in supply. Considering the approaching major events and potential production restrictions, there is an expectation of supply contraction in the short term. Meanwhile, the demand for hot-rolled coils is also weakly stable, with the weekly apparent demand decreasing by 0.55 million tons week-on-week, and the high-frequency trading performance is weak. Although the downstream cold-rolled production remains high and stable, indicating some demand resilience, the low domestic and foreign price difference still requires caution regarding potential foreign demand concerns. Overall, the demand for hot-rolled coils shows some resilience, and the short-term production restrictions continue to have an impact. The supply-demand pattern is acceptable, providing support for prices. However, the concerns about foreign demand remain, and the supply contraction is unlikely to be sustained. The fundamental situation has not improved substantially, and the upward driving force is weak. It is expected that the subsequent trend will continue to fluctuate. Attention should be paid to the production situation of steel mills [8]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Supply - The weekly output of hot-rolled coils is 322.79 million tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.50 million tons and a month-on-month change of 19.69 million tons. The same-period value is 324.74 million tons, with a year-on-year change of -0.50 million tons [2]. - The blast furnace capacity utilization rate is 90.02%, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.23 percentage points, a month-on-month change of -0.22 percentage points, and the same-period value is 82.96% [2]. Demand - The apparent demand for hot-rolled coils is 320.00 million tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.55 million tons and a month-on-month change of 15.27 million tons [2]. - The weekly output of cold-rolled coils is 83.15 million tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.89 million tons and a month-on-month change of 3.14 million tons [2]. Inventory - The total inventory of hot-rolled coils is 365.46 million tons, with a decrease of 76.35 million tons compared to the previous period [2]. - The in-plant inventory is 79.68 million tons, with a decrease of 16.07 million tons compared to the previous period [2]. - The social inventory is 285.78 million tons, with a decrease of 60.28 million tons compared to the previous period [2].
宝城期货热轧卷板周度数据-20250822
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 01:54
Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Core View - The supply and demand of hot-rolled coils are both rising. The demand shows good resilience, which supports the price. However, the fundamentals have not improved under the high supply pattern. The relative positives are cost increase and production restriction disturbances. It is expected that the price of hot-rolled coils will continue to fluctuate and rise. Attention should be paid to the demand performance [8] Summary by Directory Supply - The weekly output of hot-rolled coils is 325.24 tons, with a week-on-week increase of 9.65 tons and a month-on-month increase of 2.45 tons compared with the end of last month. The output has rebounded from a low level to a new high this year. The blast furnace capacity utilization rate is 90.25%, with a week-on-week increase of 0.03% and a month-on-month increase of 0.01% compared with the end of last month, and a year-on-year increase of 5.95% [2] Demand - The apparent demand for hot-rolled coils is 321.27 tons, with a week-on-week increase of 6.52 tons and a month-on-month increase of 1.27 tons compared with the end of last month, and a year-on-year increase of 2.68 tons. The weekly output of cold-rolled coils is 86.08 tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.11 tons and a month-on-month decrease of 1.10 tons compared with the end of last month, and a year-on-year increase of 3.31 tons [2] Inventory - The total inventory of hot-rolled coils is 361.44 tons, with a week-on-week increase of 3.97 tons and a month-on-month increase of 13.49 tons compared with the end of last month, and a year-on-year decrease of 80.77 tons. The in-plant inventory is 78.89 tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 1.09 tons and a month-on-month decrease of 0.41 tons compared with the end of last month, and a year-on-year decrease of 13.29 tons. The social inventory is 282.55 tons, with a week-on-week increase of 5.06 tons and a month-on-month increase of 13.90 tons compared with the end of last month, and a year-on-year decrease of 67.48 tons [2]
宝城期货热轧卷板周度数据-20250725
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-25 02:21
Group 1: Report Core View - Hot-rolled coil supply and demand have both weakened, with the fundamentals deteriorating again and a slight inventory build-up. However, the overall contradiction is not significant, and strong raw materials are boosting market sentiment. It is expected that hot-rolled coil prices will maintain a high-level oscillating trend, and attention should be paid to overseas risks [7] Group 2: Supply - The weekly production of hot-rolled coils was 3.1749 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 36,500 tons, and a month-on-month decrease of 97,500 tons. The supply continued to contract but remained at a relatively high level for the year [2] - The blast furnace capacity utilization rate was 90.81%, a week-on-week decrease of 0.08 percentage points and a month-on-month decrease of 0.02 percentage points [2] Group 3: Demand - The apparent weekly demand for hot-rolled coils was 3.1524 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 85,500 tons and a month-on-month decrease of 110,100 tons [2] - The weekly production of cold-rolled coils was 869,600 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 500 tons and a month-on-month decrease of 11,000 tons [2] Group 4: Inventory - The total inventory of hot-rolled coils was 3.4516 million tons, a decrease of 850,000 tons [2] - The in-plant inventory was 780,000 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 2,200 tons and a month-on-month decrease of 178,100 tons [2] - The social inventory was 2.6716 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 42,200 tons and a month-on-month decrease of 671,900 tons [2]