煤炭绿色低碳转型

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煤炭大会释放转型信号:从规模扩张到质量优先,未来如何破局?
Zhong Guo Dian Li Bao· 2025-06-12 09:02
Core Viewpoint - The coal industry in China is shifting from "scale expansion" to "quality first," focusing on energy security, green transformation, technological innovation, and social equity [2][5]. Industry Trends - The proportion of coal consumption for power generation is expected to exceed 60% as coal consumption shows new characteristics, with a slight increase in coal usage for the power sector before reaching carbon peak by 2030 [2][10]. - By 2030, electricity is projected to account for 34% of total energy consumption, driven by the growth of new industries and advancements in information technology [4]. Coal and Power Integration - The coal and power sectors have a natural synergy, with coal remaining a cornerstone of electricity generation in the near future [7]. - The number of coal mines in China has decreased from approximately 15,000 in 2014 to around 4,300 by the end of 2024, with large modern coal mines producing 80% of the total output [7][8]. Technological and Structural Adjustments - The coal industry is undergoing structural optimization, with significant investments in modern and intelligent coal mines, totaling about 4.5 trillion yuan over the past decade [7][9]. - Recommendations include establishing flexible production mechanisms, enhancing coal transportation infrastructure, and promoting green and efficient coal utilization [8][9]. Market Dynamics - The coal market is experiencing a decline in prices due to oversupply in late 2024 and increased production in early 2025, with a forecast of fluctuating consumption growth [10].