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陕西煤业(601225):旺季煤电需求环比双扬 电力稳筑布局成长可期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 12:29
Core Insights - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, with total revenue of 118.1 billion yuan, down 12.81% year-on-year, and a net profit of 12.7 billion yuan, down 27.22% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 40.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 20.91% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.07 billion yuan, down 26.59% year-on-year [1] - The company experienced a significant increase in coal prices in Q3, contributing to stable production and sales [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company produced 130 million tons of coal, an increase of 2.03% year-on-year, and sold 189 million tons, an increase of 0.4% year-on-year [1] - The average coal price for the first three quarters was 540 yuan per ton, down 13.0% year-on-year, while the average price in the first half was only 440 yuan per ton, indicating a substantial price increase in Q3 [1] - The sales cost per ton of coal was 376 yuan, down 5.4% year-on-year, leading to a gross profit of 164 yuan per ton, down 26.6% year-on-year [1] Power Generation and Sales - The company saw a significant increase in electricity sales in Q3 2025, with sales volume reaching 13 billion kWh, up 13.5% year-on-year, despite a decline in the first half of the year [2] - The total installed capacity of the company is now 20,280 MW, with 8,960 MW in operation and 11,320 MW under construction [2] - New coal power projects are progressing, with production capacity increases at existing coal mines and new power plants under construction [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 165.5 billion yuan, 174 billion yuan, and 182.2 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year changes of -10.14%, +5.18%, and +4.70% respectively [3] - Projected net profits for the same period are 18.2 billion yuan, 19.7 billion yuan, and 22.9 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -18.76%, +8.34%, and +16.34% respectively [3] - The company maintains a "strong buy" rating based on these forecasts [3]