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重塑能源(02570.HK):燃料电池领军企业 持续拓展应用场景
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-14 00:38
重塑能源为中国燃料电池龙头企业,我们认为公司具备以下几点优势:1)公司行业份额领先(24 年市 占率18%),研发费用远超同行,技术领跑行业;2)电堆/膜电极/双极板自研自产,持续推动核心零部 件国产化;3)深耕重卡赛道(23 年行业份额达42%),持续拓展低价氢等市场化场景;4)基于电解 槽、燃料电池等产品布局,提供端到端氢能整体解决方案。 投资亮点 布局电解槽与离网超充桩,海外业务加速发展,打开远期成长空间。2023 年公司推出PEM 电解槽、膜 电极等系列产品,具备较强的技术协同性。2024 年公司推出离网超充桩产品,可应用于高速、旅游景 区等场景,减小电力扩容压力。2024年公司非车用燃料电池系统销售额超5400 万元,同比+133%。同 时,公司加快布局海外业务拓展,2024 年海外燃料电池系统营收占比达9%,未来有望迎来加速发展。 我们与市场的最大不同?我们认为公司作为燃料电池龙头,拓展重卡、离网超充桩等市场化应用,远期 具备较大发展潜力。 首次覆盖重塑能源(02570)给予跑赢行业评级,目标价84.63 港元,基于P/S 估值法,对应估值倍数7x 2026 P/S,公司是燃料电池行业龙头,中长期 ...
中金 | AI“探电”(九):SOFC—AIDC供电新解法
中金点睛· 2025-08-29 00:07
Core Viewpoint - Bloom Energy is positioning its solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) systems as a new solution for powering data centers, with significant agreements already in place, including a notable partnership with Oracle for on-site fuel cell deployment [2][6]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The North American data center power supply landscape is shifting from traditional sources like nuclear and gas to newer technologies such as SOFC, driven by shorter delivery times and increasing demand for reliable power [3][4]. - The projected annual installation capacity for SOFC in North America is expected to reach between 0.5 to 1.25 GW from 2026 to 2030, as data center projects totaling around 68 GW are in various stages of development [3][20][21]. Group 2: SOFC Technology and Economics - SOFC technology is characterized by high efficiency, cleanliness, and flexibility in deployment, making it suitable for various applications, including data centers [4][25]. - Current economic challenges for SOFC include the need to improve system lifespan and efficiency to reduce the cost per kilowatt-hour, with long-term goals set by the U.S. Department of Energy to lower costs to $225/kW for stacks and below $900/kW for systems by 2025/2030 [4][37]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Diesel generators remain the dominant choice for backup power in data centers due to their lower capital expenditure (capex) compared to SOFC, which is around $5/W, even after tax credits [14][17]. - The delivery time for SOFC systems is approximately 90 days, significantly shorter than the 2-3 years required for gas turbines, positioning SOFC as a competitive option in the evolving data center power supply market [18][36]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The demand for SOFC is expected to grow as data centers increasingly adopt off-grid power solutions, with a potential 50% of new data centers opting for such models between 2025 and 2030 [20][21]. - As the market for SOFC expands, the technology's adaptability to various fuels, including natural gas and hydrogen, will enhance its appeal, particularly as green energy initiatives gain traction [25][34].