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【美联储理事警告:美联储货币政策可能无法应对AI引发的失业潮 】库克称,AI已引发美国劳动力市场的代际更迭,可能导致失业率上升,美联储可能无法以降息应对,货币政策可能陷入两难——降息既无法有效应对结构性失业,又可能推高通胀;AI或先推高、后压低中性利率;生产率统计数据或需五到十年才体现AI...
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 00:14
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve faces challenges in addressing potential unemployment caused by AI advancements, as monetary policy may not effectively respond to structural unemployment while also risking inflation [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy may be caught in a dilemma, where lowering interest rates could fail to address structural unemployment caused by AI and may also lead to increased inflation [1] - AI is expected to initially raise and then lower the neutral interest rate over time [1] Group 2: Labor Market Impact - AI is causing a generational shift in the U.S. labor market, potentially leading to an increase in unemployment rates [1] - Productivity statistics may take five to ten years to reflect the impact of AI on the labor market [1] Group 3: Diverging Opinions - Federal Reserve Governor Waller believes that a report by Citrini, which triggered a significant drop in software and other industry stocks, exaggerates the potential impact of AI on employment [1] - Waller emphasizes that AI is a tool and will not replace human workers [1]