生态协同与价值共建
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电商与实体零售进入战略相持阶段
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-26 11:34
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the shift in China's retail landscape, indicating that the online retail growth has plateaued, leading to intensified competition for existing market share rather than expanding the overall market [1][6][28] - The online retail sales growth has entered a low-growth phase, with the growth rate dropping from 14.75% in 2021 to near zero in 2024, and only a slight rebound to 3.58% expected in 2025 [2][4] - The total e-commerce penetration rate has declined for two consecutive years, reaching a low of 25.02% in 2025, signaling that the online channel's growth potential is nearing its ceiling [6][12] Group 2 - Offline retail has shown resilience, with growth rates recovering after a brief decline in 2022, surpassing online growth in 2024 with a rate of 4.59% compared to online's 0.67% [8][12] - The market dynamics have stabilized with online and offline retail maintaining a balance of approximately 30% and 70% market share respectively, indicating a shift from pure online migration to more complex consumption and competition [15][28] - Online platforms are increasingly engaging in price wars to capture market share, with traditional platforms like Taobao and JD.com adopting low-price strategies to compete against emerging players like Pinduoduo and Douyin [16][17][18] Group 3 - The intense competition has led to increased operational pressures for merchants, with high return rates and costs associated with logistics and customer service impacting profitability [20][22] - Platforms are now focusing on internal adjustments and seeking alliances to restore balance in the commercial ecosystem, moving away from solely consumer-centric strategies [23][24] - Offline retailers are enhancing their value propositions by creating unique shopping experiences that cannot be replicated online, thus initiating a counter-offensive against online competition [25][27] Group 4 - The article concludes that the stagnation in e-commerce penetration is not indicative of retail decline but rather a sign of China's economic transition from a goods-oriented society to a service-oriented one, emphasizing the importance of experience over mere ownership [28][29] - Future retail competition will focus on creating deeper value, emotional connections, and seamless integration between online and offline experiences, rather than a zero-sum game [29][30]