电价成本双降

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三峡能源(600905)2024年三季报点评:盈利能力同比提升 拟投资新疆大基地项目
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 08:42
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 21.76 billion yuan for Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.81%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.09 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 6.31% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.70 billion yuan for the single quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.97%, and a net profit of 1.06 billion yuan, up 14.69% year-on-year [1] - The total power generation for Q3 2024 was 16.49 billion kWh, a significant increase of 38.05% year-on-year, driven by growth in wind and solar power generation [1] - The comprehensive on-grid electricity price for Q3 2024 was 0.406 yuan/kWh, a decrease of 13.1% year-on-year, primarily due to an increase in the proportion of grid parity power and a decline in market transaction prices [2] Group 2: Cost and Profitability - The cost per kWh for Q3 2024 was 0.209 yuan, down 16.2% year-on-year, which exceeded the decline in electricity prices, leading to an increase in gross margin by 1.89 percentage points to 48.50% [2] - Investment income decreased to -0.046 billion yuan in Q3 2024 from 0.131 billion yuan in the same period last year, mainly due to fluctuations in the profitability of associated enterprises [2] Group 3: Future Projects and Investments - The company plans to invest in a new energy base project in the Taklamakan Desert, Xinjiang, with a total investment of 71.8 billion yuan, including 6.1 billion yuan from the company [2] - The project will support the growth of the company's new energy capacity and ensure power delivery through the established Xinjiang (Southern Xinjiang) to Sichuan-Chongqing ultra-high voltage direct current project, addressing the strong electricity demand in the Sichuan-Chongqing region [2] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 7.20 billion yuan, 8.63 billion yuan, and 9.67 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 18.29x, 15.26x, and 13.62x [3]