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华泰证券:火电三季度盈利有望提升 绿电国补回收提速
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-28 23:37
Core Insights - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the national thermal power generation volume in July and August has increased year-on-year, suggesting a potential rise in net profit per kilowatt-hour for major thermal power companies in Q3 2025 due to the peak summer demand [1] - There is a year-on-year decline in national hydropower generation in July and August, with variations across different river basins; nuclear power plants are operating steadily [1] - From January to August, the growth in installed capacity supports a year-on-year increase in electricity generation for green energy operators; the apparent consumption of natural gas in July has also increased year-on-year [1] Thermal Power - The focus for thermal power in Q4 2025 will be on the price differential between electricity and coal [1] - The increase in thermal power generation hours is attributed to the peak summer demand [1] Hydropower - The profitability of hydropower is primarily dependent on water inflow and reservoir conditions during the flood season [1] Green Energy - The attention for green energy will be on the pricing details of the mechanism and the progress of national subsidies [1] Natural Gas - The natural gas sector will be monitored for improvements in demand [1] Environmental Companies - Environmental companies should focus on cash flow, adjustments in water pricing, and the potential for releasing green and smart capabilities [1]
华泰证券:火电三季度盈利有望提升,绿电国补回收提速
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-28 23:32
Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the national thermal power generation volume has increased year-on-year in July and August, suggesting potential profit growth for major thermal power companies in the third quarter of 2025 due to peak summer demand [1] Group 1: Thermal Power - The national thermal power generation volume has shown a year-on-year increase in July and August, driven by peak summer demand [1] - The net profit per kilowatt-hour for major thermal power companies is expected to continue improving in the third quarter of 2025 [1] - The focus for thermal power in the fourth quarter of 2025 will be on the price differential between electricity and coal [1] Group 2: Hydropower - National hydropower generation volume has declined year-on-year in July and August, with variations across different river basins [1] - The profitability of hydropower will mainly depend on water inflow and reservoir conditions during the flood season [1] Group 3: Nuclear Power - Nuclear power plants are operating steadily, contributing to the overall energy mix [1] Group 4: Green Energy - The growth in installed capacity from January to August supports a year-on-year increase in electricity generation for green energy operators [1] - Attention for green energy will be on the details of pricing mechanisms and the progress of national subsidies [1] Group 5: Natural Gas - The apparent consumption of natural gas nationwide has increased year-on-year in July [1] - The focus for natural gas will be on whether demand improves [1] Group 6: Environmental Companies - Environmental companies should primarily focus on cash flow, water price adjustments, and the potential for releasing green and smart capabilities [1]