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华泰证券:火电三季度盈利有望提升 绿电国补回收提速
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-28 23:37
华泰证券研报表示,7/8月全国火电发电量同比增长,考虑迎峰度夏对火电利用小时的提振,主要火电 公司2025年第三季度度电净利或有望继续提升。7/8月全国水电发电量同比下滑,不同流域存在分化; 核电机组稳健运行;1-8月装机增长支撑绿电运营商电量同比提升;7月全国天然气表观消费量同比提 升。展望2025年第四季度,火电关注电价vs煤价剪刀差;水电盈利主要取决于来水及汛期蓄水情况;绿 电关注机制电价细则和国补确权进展;燃气关注天然气需求是否改善;环保公司主要关注现金流、水价 调整、绿色和智慧潜能释放空间。 (文章来源:第一财经) ...
华泰证券:火电三季度盈利有望提升,绿电国补回收提速
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-28 23:32
Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the national thermal power generation volume has increased year-on-year in July and August, suggesting potential profit growth for major thermal power companies in the third quarter of 2025 due to peak summer demand [1] Group 1: Thermal Power - The national thermal power generation volume has shown a year-on-year increase in July and August, driven by peak summer demand [1] - The net profit per kilowatt-hour for major thermal power companies is expected to continue improving in the third quarter of 2025 [1] - The focus for thermal power in the fourth quarter of 2025 will be on the price differential between electricity and coal [1] Group 2: Hydropower - National hydropower generation volume has declined year-on-year in July and August, with variations across different river basins [1] - The profitability of hydropower will mainly depend on water inflow and reservoir conditions during the flood season [1] Group 3: Nuclear Power - Nuclear power plants are operating steadily, contributing to the overall energy mix [1] Group 4: Green Energy - The growth in installed capacity from January to August supports a year-on-year increase in electricity generation for green energy operators [1] - Attention for green energy will be on the details of pricing mechanisms and the progress of national subsidies [1] Group 5: Natural Gas - The apparent consumption of natural gas nationwide has increased year-on-year in July [1] - The focus for natural gas will be on whether demand improves [1] Group 6: Environmental Companies - Environmental companies should primarily focus on cash flow, water price adjustments, and the potential for releasing green and smart capabilities [1]