电力需求回升

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国证国际:电力需求累计增速持续回升 建议投资者把握中国电力等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 09:02
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guozheng International indicates a significant increase in social electricity consumption in July, driven mainly by the growth in electricity usage in the tertiary sector and urban-rural residential life [1][2] Group 1: Electricity Consumption Data - In July, the total social electricity consumption reached 10,226 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 8.6% and a month-on-month increase of 17.9%, with the growth rate up by 3.2 percentage points compared to June [2] - From January to July, the cumulative electricity consumption was 58,633 billion kWh, showing a year-on-year growth of 4.5% [2] - The breakdown of July's electricity consumption shows that the primary industry consumed 170 billion kWh (up 20.2%), the secondary industry consumed 5,936 billion kWh (up 4.7%), the tertiary industry consumed 2,081 billion kWh (up 10.7%), and urban-rural residential life consumed 2,039 billion kWh (up 18.0%) [2] Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - The high-tech sector's electricity consumption grew by 4.6% from January to July, outpacing the overall secondary industry growth by 1.8 percentage points, with the new energy vehicle manufacturing sector seeing a remarkable growth of 25.7% [3] - The internet and related services sector experienced a year-on-year electricity consumption increase of 28.2%, while the wholesale and retail sector grew by 12% [3] - The hot weather in July contributed to a significant rise in residential electricity consumption, with some regions reporting increases of up to 30% [3] Group 3: Industrial Power Generation - In July, the power generation from large-scale industries reached 9,267 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.1%, which is an acceleration of 1.4 percentage points compared to June [4] - The growth rates for various power generation types in July include: thermal power up 4.3%, wind power up 5.5%, solar power up 28.7%, while hydropower saw a decline of 9.8% [4] - The cumulative power generation from January to July was 54,703 billion kWh, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3% [4]
6月月度社会用电量数据发布-20250729
Guosen International· 2025-07-29 05:15
Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the electricity operators, highlighting low valuations and high dividend yields, particularly for companies like China Power (2380.HK) and China Resources Power (836.HK) [1][5]. Core Insights - The total electricity consumption in June 2025 increased by 5.4% year-on-year, with a cumulative growth of 3.7% for the first half of the year, indicating a continuous recovery in electricity demand [2][5]. - The growth in electricity consumption was primarily driven by the tertiary industry and residential electricity usage, which saw significant increases of 9.0% and 10.8% respectively in June [2][5]. - The report notes that the overall valuation of the Hong Kong electricity operator sector is low, with many stocks offering dividend yields exceeding 6%, and the decline in coal prices supports profitability in thermal power generation [1][5]. Summary by Sections Electricity Consumption Data - In June 2025, the total electricity consumption reached 867 billion kWh, marking a 5.4% increase year-on-year and a 7.1% increase month-on-month [2]. - For the first half of 2025, total electricity consumption was 48,418 billion kWh, reflecting a 3.7% year-on-year growth [2]. Industrial Power Generation - The industrial power generation in June 2025 grew by 1.7% year-on-year, with a total of 7,963 billion kWh generated [4]. - The report highlights that nuclear and solar power generation saw significant growth rates of 10.3% and 18.3% respectively, while thermal power generation growth slowed to 1.1% [4]. Sector Performance - The report emphasizes that the electricity operator sector in Hong Kong is currently undervalued, with performance growth outpacing the industry average [5]. - Recommended stocks include China Resources Power (836.HK) and China Power (2380.HK), which are characterized by low valuations and high dividend yields [1][5].