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申万公用环保周报:8月第二产业用电增速提升,全球气价窄幅震荡-20250929
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-09-29 13:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, recommending specific companies for investment based on their performance and market conditions [3][16][18]. Core Insights - The report highlights that in August, the total electricity consumption reached 10,154 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year growth of 5.0%. The second industry contributed the largest increase, accounting for 59% of the total electricity increment [3][8][9]. - The report notes that global gas prices are experiencing slight fluctuations, with the Henry Hub spot price at $2.90/mmBtu and the TTF spot price at €32.15/MWh as of September 26 [18][19]. - The report emphasizes the stable growth in electricity consumption driven by high temperatures and government policies aimed at boosting consumption [8][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity Sector - In August, the second industry saw a significant increase in electricity consumption, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0% and contributing 59% to the total electricity increment [3][9]. - The manufacturing sector achieved a record monthly growth rate, particularly in high-tech and equipment manufacturing, which grew by 9.1% year-on-year [9][10]. - The report recommends investments in hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, and thermal power companies, citing favorable conditions for growth and profitability [16][17]. 2. Gas Sector - The report indicates that the supply-demand dynamics for gas remain stable, with slight fluctuations in global gas prices. The LNG price in Northeast Asia decreased by 2.61% to $11.20/mmBtu [18][19]. - It highlights the steady increase in U.S. natural gas inventories and the impact of mild weather on heating and cooling demands, leading to low price volatility [21][27]. - The report suggests focusing on integrated gas companies and city gas firms that are expected to benefit from cost reductions and improved profitability [41][42]. 3. Market Performance Review - The report notes that the public utility and environmental sectors underperformed compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 indices, while the power equipment sector outperformed [43][44]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent government initiatives aim to enhance the quality of energy equipment and promote the development of renewable energy sources [52]. - The report includes updates on major companies' announcements, including contract wins and strategic investments, which are expected to positively impact their future performance [52][53]. 5. Key Company Valuation Table - The report provides a valuation table for key companies in the public utility and environmental sectors, indicating their market positions and potential for growth [54].