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中国电力(02380):清洁能源业绩有所承压,火电改善助力稳健经营
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-25 23:30
丨证券研究报告丨 港股研究丨公司点评丨中国电力(2380.HK) [Table_Title] 清洁能源业绩有所承压,火电改善助力稳健经营 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 由于来水偏枯,2025 年上半年水电电量明显承压,水电分部净利润同比减少 28.2%。得益于电 量的高速增长,风电分部净利润同比增加 8.36%;而受电价及利用小时的双重压力,光伏分部 净利润同比下降 36.9%。上半年火电板块经营延续改善,火电分部实现净利润 14.28 亿元,同 比增长 28.89%,度电净利同比提升 0.019 元/千瓦时。整体来看,虽然受来水偏枯、新能源电 价同比回落、光照资源偏弱等因素的共同影响,公司清洁能源板块业绩有所承压,但在火电优 异表现的拉动下,公司 2025 年上半年实现普通股股东应占利润 25.87 亿元,同比增长 0.65%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490517080003 SAC:S0490520120001 SAC:S0490520110001 SAC:S0490523080003 SFC:BQT627 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% % ...
东吴证券:给予建投能源买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-17 13:32
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that JianTou Energy (000600) benefits from its advantageous location and high growth in thermal power, with a buy rating given by Dongwu Securities based on the company's strong performance in the first half of 2025 and plans for a 2 billion yuan capital increase for the Xibaipo thermal power project [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, JianTou Energy achieved operating revenue of 11.113 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.3% [1]. - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 897 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 158.0% [1]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was about 880 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 182.5% [1]. Group 2: Capital Increase and Project Development - JianTou Energy plans to raise up to 2 billion yuan through a private placement to no more than 35 investors, primarily for the construction of the Xibaipo Power Plant Phase IV project [1]. - The Xibaipo Power Plant Phase IV project will consist of two 660,000 kW ultra-supercritical coal-fired combined heat and power units, aimed at supplying power to the southern Hebei power grid and providing centralized heating to Shijiazhuang and surrounding towns [1]. Group 3: Business Segmentation and Growth - The thermal power business generated 10.112 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 90.99% of total revenue, with electricity revenue at 8.778 billion yuan and heat revenue at 1.334 billion yuan [2]. - The company is actively expanding its renewable energy sector, with photovoltaic business revenue reaching 95.48 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 90.69% [2]. - The report anticipates that the thermal power price and output in Hebei province will lead the industry over the next three years, with a projected tight supply trend [2]. Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The profit forecast for JianTou Energy is as follows: 1.34 billion yuan in 2025, 1.56 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.60 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 152.2%, 16.4%, and 2.3% respectively [2]. - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios for 2025-2027 are projected to be 10, 9, and 8 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [2].
6月用电量较好,旺季部分区域电价或上涨
Haitong Securities International· 2025-08-05 07:10
Investment Rating - The report suggests a long-term buy on thermal power, particularly during market style adjustments [1]. Core Insights - Electricity demand continues to rise, with June's total electricity consumption reaching 867 billion kWh, a year-over-year increase of 5.4% [4]. - The report anticipates a rebound in coal prices, particularly in Qinhuangdao, and expects improved Q3 performance for the industry due to rising thermal power electricity growth and prices [4]. - The National Energy Administration reported that the total installed capacity by the end of June was 3.65 billion kW, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 18.7% [4]. Summary by Sections Electricity Consumption - In June, total electricity consumption was 867 billion kWh, with secondary and tertiary industry consumption at 548.8 billion kWh and 175.8 billion kWh, showing year-over-year increases of 3.2% and 9% respectively [4]. - Residential electricity consumption reached 129.1 billion kWh, up 10.8% year-over-year [4]. Power Generation - June's power generation was 796.3 billion kWh, a year-over-year increase of 1.7% [4]. - From January to June, total power generation was 4,537.1 billion kWh, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.8% [4]. Installed Capacity and Investment - By the end of June, the total installed capacity was 3.65 billion kW, with hydro, thermal, nuclear, wind, and solar power showing year-over-year increases of 3%, 4.7%, 4.9%, 23%, and 54% respectively [4]. - Power engineering investment reached RMB 363.5 billion, a year-over-year increase of 5.9%, while grid investment was RMB 291.1 billion, up 14.6% year-over-year [4]. Storage Development - Gansu province is developing storage capacity, with new grid storage reaching 6 million kW, which is 5% of the 70 million kW of wind and solar capacity [4]. - Gansu's new storage capacity is 6.07 million kW and 14.03 million kWh, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 65.6% [4]. Policy Changes - Liaoning's new power reform policy includes a capacity market where coal power and grid storage receive fixed capacity price compensation [4]. - The spot market has a bid cap of RMB 1.1/kWh and a clearing cap of RMB 1.5/kWh, with adjustments for existing and new projects [4].
公用事业行业跟踪周报:继续推荐受益绿证价值提升+装机高增的绿电板块-20250804
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-04 13:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the green electricity sector, benefiting from the appreciation of green certificate values and high installation growth [1]. Core Insights - The report continues to recommend investment opportunities in green electricity operators against the backdrop of increasing green certificate values. In June 2025, the National Energy Administration issued 278 million green certificates, a month-on-month increase of 29.33%, involving 198,700 renewable energy projects, with 196 million being tradable certificates, accounting for 70.64% [4][6]. - Key industry data shows that in the first half of 2025, total electricity consumption reached 4.84 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%. The cumulative power generation was 4.54 trillion kWh, up 0.8% year-on-year, with significant growth in wind and solar power generation [4][13][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW public utility index fell by 1.84% during the week of July 28 to August 1, 2025, with declines across various sectors including thermal power and solar energy [9]. 2. Electricity Sector Tracking 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in H1 2025 was 4.84 trillion kWh, with growth rates of 8.7% in the primary industry, 2.4% in the secondary industry, 7.1% in the tertiary industry, and 4.1% in urban and rural residential use [13]. 2.2. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation in H1 2025 was 4.54 trillion kWh, with thermal and hydro power generation declining by 2.4% and 2.9% respectively, while wind and solar power generation increased by 11.1% and 18.3% [22]. 2.3. Electricity Prices - The average grid purchase price in July 2025 was 382 RMB/MWh, down 3% year-on-year and 1.4% month-on-month [36]. 2.4. Thermal Power - As of August 1, 2025, the price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao was 663 RMB/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 21.91% but a week-on-week increase of 10 RMB/ton [46]. 2.5. Hydropower - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 160.66 meters as of August 1, 2025, with inflow and outflow rates showing significant year-on-year declines of 49.02% and 44.94% respectively [57]. 2.6. Nuclear Power - In 2024, 11 new nuclear units were approved, indicating a continued trend of safe and orderly development in the nuclear sector [71]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in solar energy and charging stations, highlighting companies such as Longyuan Power, Zhongmin Energy, and China Nuclear Power as key recommendations [4].
行业周报(7.14-7.20):雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程开工,6月全国用电量同比+5.4%-20250723
Great Wall Securities· 2025-07-23 05:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating expectations for the industry to perform better than the market in the next six months [4][63]. Core Insights - The national electricity consumption in June 2025 increased by 5.4% year-on-year, with total consumption reaching 867 billion kilowatt-hours [3][36]. - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has commenced, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan [3][37]. - The national power load reached a historical high of 1.5 billion kilowatts on July 16, 2025, marking a significant increase compared to previous records [3][38]. Market Performance - The Shenwan Public Utilities Index fell by 1.37% during the week of July 14-20, 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.06 percentage points [2][12]. - The industry valuation as of July 18, 2025, shows a Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio of 17.2, down from 17.43 the previous week, and a Price-to-Book (PB) ratio of 1.73, down from 1.75 [1][23][26]. Stock Performance - Top-performing stocks for the week included Mindong Electric (+6.75%), Jiufeng Energy (+5.52%), and Langfang Development (+4.79%) [2][29]. - Underperforming stocks included Wanqing Energy (-9.25%), Shaoneng Shares (-7.04%), and Huayin Electric (-6.53%) [2][29]. Industry Dynamics - The report highlights the ongoing trend of stable coal prices, with the Qinhuangdao Shanxi mixed coal price at 634 yuan per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.6% [3][42]. - The report also notes the significant trading volumes in green certificates, with a total of 17.42 thousand wind power and 6.43 thousand photovoltaic power certificates traded from July 14 to July 20, 2025 [3][45]. Recommendations - For thermal power, the report suggests a long-term view on demand-side supply and peak regulation, with expectations for stable profit margins [7]. - For hydropower, it recommends positioning in relatively undervalued leading stocks during times of reduced risk appetite [8]. - In the green energy sector, the report advises focusing on leading companies and regions with declining electricity prices [8].
湖北能源:2025年6月发电量同比增14.68%
news flash· 2025-07-10 09:57
Core Viewpoint - Hubei Energy (000883) reported an increase in electricity generation for June 2025, with a total of 3.649 billion kilowatt-hours, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.68% [1] Summary by Category Electricity Generation Performance - The company's electricity generation for the year-to-date totaled 20.456 billion kilowatt-hours, showing a year-on-year decrease of 2.47% [1] - In June 2025, hydropower generation increased significantly by 106.98% year-on-year, while thermal power generation decreased by 25.23% [1] - New energy generation saw a year-on-year increase of 69.55% in June 2025 [1] Year-to-Date Performance Breakdown - Year-to-date hydropower generation decreased by 34.10% year-on-year [1] - Year-to-date thermal power generation increased by 3.00% year-on-year [1] - Year-to-date new energy generation increased by 53.84% year-on-year [1]
金融工程日报:沪指震荡微升,封板率创近一个月新高-20250707
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-07 15:19
The provided content does not include any specific quantitative models or factors, nor does it detail their construction, evaluation, or backtesting results. The documents primarily focus on market performance, sentiment, fund flows, ETF premiums/discounts, block trades, and institutional activity. These are descriptive analyses and statistics rather than quantitative models or factor-based methodologies. If you have another document or report that includes quantitative models or factors, please provide it for analysis
粤开市场日报-20250704
Yuekai Securities· 2025-07-04 09:04
Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.32% to close at 3472.32 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% to 10508.76 points. The ChiNext Index decreased by 0.36% to 2156.32 points [1] - Overall, there were 4118 stocks that declined, 1169 that increased, and 129 that remained unchanged across the market. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 14285 billion yuan, an increase of 1188.11 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, sectors such as banking, media, comprehensive services, public utilities, steel, and coal led the gains, while industries like beauty care, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, light manufacturing, environmental protection, and machinery equipment experienced declines [1] Sector Highlights - The top-performing concept sectors today included cross-border payments, central enterprise banks, digital currency, hydropower, selected banks, vitamins, financial technology, thermal power, and selected electric power stocks. Other notable sectors were "East Data West Calculation," innovative drugs, semiconductor equipment, biotechnology, and online gaming [1]
环保公用事业行业周报(2025、06、22):火电发电量由降转增,第二产业用电量增速环比下滑-20250622
CMS· 2025-06-22 13:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The environmental and public utility sectors experienced declines, with the environmental index down 2.51% and the public utility index down 1.13%. The power sector specifically saw a 1.31% drop, while the gas sector increased by 0.69% [6][31] - As of June 20, 2025, the price of Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal has dropped to 620 CNY/ton, marking a relative low since 2022. The performance of thermal power companies varies significantly based on their geographic location and demand for electricity [6][10] - The report highlights a shift in electricity generation, with thermal power generation increasing to 4614.6 billion kWh in May, a year-on-year increase of 1.2%, while hydropower generation decreased by 14.3% [10][21] Summary by Sections Key Event Interpretations - In May, total electricity generation reached 7377.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%, with thermal power generation showing a recovery [10][21] - The overall electricity consumption in May was 8096 billion kWh, up 4.4% year-on-year, with a notable decline in the growth rate of electricity consumption in the secondary industry [21] Market Performance Review - The environmental sector has seen a cumulative increase of 3.34% since the beginning of 2025, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 indices [6][31] - The report details the performance of various sub-sectors, with thermal power down 1.31% and nuclear power showing a slight increase of 0.15% [31][37] Key Data Tracking - The report tracks coal prices, noting that the price of Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal remains low, with significant declines from previous highs [46] - It also monitors water reservoir levels, with the Three Gorges Reservoir showing a water level of 149.13 meters as of June 20, 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [48] Industry Key Events - The report discusses recent government initiatives aimed at promoting renewable energy and improving energy efficiency, including financial support for renewable energy projects [78]
公用事业行业跟踪报告:北方火电释放弹性,水电业绩稳健增长
Haitong Securities International· 2025-06-03 09:34
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Overweight" [1][4] Core Insights - Northern thermal power shows resilience with significant profit growth, while hydropower maintains stable performance. Green energy faces pressure on earnings due to dual impacts of wind conditions and electricity prices, while nuclear power's profitability is affected by electricity pricing [1][2][4] Summary by Sections Northern Thermal Power - The report highlights that the profitability of northern thermal power plants is growing faster than that of southern plants, with a median net profit growth rate of 8% for national thermal power companies in Q1 2025. The median PE ratios for thermal power companies have decreased from 15.7 in Q1 2023 to 10.4 in Q1 2025, indicating a declining market focus on this sector [8][10][9] - The report anticipates a recovery in thermal power performance in Q2 2025 following a significant drop in electricity generation in Q1 2025 due to a warm winter [10][14] Hydropower - Hydropower companies have shown strong earnings growth, with a median net profit growth rate of 26% in Q1 2025, driven by optimized water storage and scheduling. The median PE ratios for hydropower companies have fluctuated, reaching 18.8 in Q1 2024 before slightly declining to 18.1 in Q1 2025 [19][20][22] - The report notes that the El Niño phenomenon is expected to positively influence water inflow during the main flood season in 2024, while the situation for 2025 remains uncertain as the climate shifts to a La Niña phase [19][20] Green Energy - Green energy companies are experiencing a decline in net profit growth, with median growth rates of -12% in 2024 and -4% in Q1 2025. The sector is facing challenges from falling electricity prices and poor wind conditions, leading to a situation where revenue is increasing but profits are not [2][4] - The report predicts a recovery in green energy performance in 2025, with an expected median net profit growth rate of around 12% as wind utilization hours improve [2][4] Nuclear Power - The nuclear power sector is experiencing mixed performance, with major companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power facing different challenges. The report indicates that profitability for China Nuclear Power is expected to decline significantly in 2024 due to accounting policy changes and tax implications, while China General Nuclear Power's profits are only slightly increasing despite new capacity coming online [2][4][5]