百万吨级铜产量

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洛阳钼业(603993):完成金矿收购,铜产品量价齐增
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-27 02:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][24]. Core Views - The company achieved a 60% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in H1 2025, reaching 8.67 billion yuan, driven by rising copper and cobalt prices alongside increased production [6][24]. - The company is actively pursuing a goal of reaching a copper production capacity of 1 million tons, with significant projects like KFM Phase II and TFM Phase III expected to commence production after 2027 [20][24]. - The report highlights that the company has successfully completed the acquisition of the Ecuadorian gold mine and is progressing with its development, aiming for production before 2029 [6][24]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a net profit of 4.73 billion yuan, a 41.2% increase year-on-year and a 19.7% increase quarter-on-quarter [6][24]. - The copper production in Q2 2025 was 183,000 tons, a 10% increase year-on-year, while copper sales reached 199,000 tons, marking a 6.7% year-on-year increase and a significant 60.5% quarter-on-quarter increase [2][7]. - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 16.315 billion, 17.752 billion, and 18.924 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.6%, 8.8%, and 6.6% [24][25]. Cost and Pricing - The copper production cost in Q2 2025 was calculated at 32,015 yuan per ton, indicating potential for cost reduction in the future [8][9]. - The report indicates that for every 5,000 yuan increase in copper price, the company's net profit would increase by 1.4 billion yuan [20][24]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned as one of the few large copper mining companies maintaining high growth in copper production, with expectations to reach 800,000 to 1 million tons by 2028 [20][24]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong operational leverage to copper and cobalt prices, which could significantly enhance profitability [24].