Report Industry Investment Ratings - Crude oil: ★★★ (indicating a clearer upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity) [1] - Fuel oil: ★★★ [1] - Low - sulfur fuel oil: ★★★ [1] - Asphalt: ★★★ [1] - Liquefied petroleum gas: ★★★ [1] Core Viewpoints - The global oil inventory increased by 2.2% in Q1 and 1.6% since Q2. After the short - term negative impact of OPEC+ production increase in July, the crude oil is supported by risk sentiment repair, demand improvement in peak season and geopolitical risks, but the mid - term demand slowdown and supply increase will limit the short - term rebound. The focus is on whether Sino - US economic and trade consultations can reverse the macro - expectations [2]. - High - sulfur fuel oil demand is low, and its cracking spread is expected to weaken due to supply increase. Low - sulfur fuel oil cracking spread is expected to be under pressure due to insufficient demand and sufficient supply [3]. - Today's asphalt performance is weak, but the terminal demand is expected to improve. The de - stocking trend continues, and although the cracking spread faces short - term callback pressure, the upward trend is hard to reverse [4]. - Domestic LPG market is under pressure due to loose supply, limited growth in chemical demand and rising inventory. It maintains a low - level oscillation with some support from rising crude oil prices [5]. Summary by Related Catalogs Crude Oil - Global oil inventory increased by 2.2% in Q1 and 1.6% since Q2, with crude oil inventory up 2.1% and refined oil inventory up 0.8% [2]. - After the short - term negative impact of OPEC+ production increase in July, the crude oil is supported by macro - risk sentiment repair, demand improvement in peak season and geopolitical risks, but the mid - term demand slowdown and supply increase will limit the short - term rebound [2]. Fuel Oil & Low - sulfur Fuel Oil - High - sulfur fuel oil demand for ship bunkering and deep - processing is low. Although there is some support from power - generation demand in the Middle East and North Africa, the demand for crude oil power - generation may exceed that of fuel oil this summer. The cracking spread of high - sulfur fuel oil is expected to weaken due to supply increase [3]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil has insufficient demand for ship bunkering, and with sufficient supply from refineries, its cracking spread is expected to be under pressure [3]. Asphalt - Today's asphalt performance is weak, and the cracking spread continues to decline. The theoretical loss of processing diluted asphalt is serious, and the inventory of diluted asphalt at ports is at a low level [4]. - The production increase of asphalt by refineries with quotas may lack sustainability, and the increase in asphalt production by major refineries is expected to be limited after the maintenance peak [4]. - The terminal demand for asphalt is expected to improve, and the de - stocking trend continues. Although the cracking spread faces short - term callback pressure, the upward trend is hard to reverse [4]. LPG - The domestic LPG market has loose supply due to weak refinery prices, falling terminal sales and increased refinery output. The chemical demand has limited growth space, and the inventory at terminals and refineries is rising, so the market is under pressure [5]. - The LPG market maintains a low - level oscillation with some support from rising crude oil prices [5].