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龙净环保20251124
2025-11-25 01:19
Summary of Longking Environmental Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Longking Environmental - **Industry**: Environmental Protection and Renewable Energy Key Points Shareholder Dynamics - Zijin Mining fully subscribed to Longking Environmental's 2 billion yuan private placement, increasing its shareholding from 25% to nearly 34%, providing significant financial support and accelerating future funding capabilities [2][3] Green Energy Business Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Longking Environmental's green energy business net profit reached 170 million yuan, significantly higher than the previous year's total of 70-80 million yuan [2][8] - The Lagocuo Salt Lake photovoltaic project contributed notably, with expected unit profitability exceeding 500 million yuan per megawatt [9] - New projects, including the Mamito Salt Lake photovoltaic and the Congo hydropower station, are anticipated to drive future performance growth [2][9] Storage and Emerging Business Areas - Longking Environmental is actively recovering its storage business, achieving a turnaround in profitability in 2025, with total battery cell deliveries of 5.9 GWh from January to September [6][12] - The company is exploring new fields such as mining new energy, green electricity, and wall-climbing robots, providing certainty for growth over the next three years [6] Environmental Protection Sector - The environmental protection segment serves as a stabilizer for the company, contributing stable and predictable performance [10] - In 2025, new orders in this sector reached 7.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11%, and the backlog of orders stood at 19.7 billion yuan, sufficient to support two years of performance confirmation [15] Future Growth and Valuation - Zijin Mining aims to achieve a 30% self-supply rate of green electricity by 2030, with a demand for approximately 7 GW of green energy installations [11] - Longking Environmental's current valuation is not fully recognized by the market, particularly for specific projects like mining green electricity, which have higher profitability than average [7] - Overall profit for 2025 is expected to exceed 1.1 billion yuan, with projections for 2026 and 2027 reaching 1.0-1.5 billion yuan and 1.6-1.7 billion yuan, respectively [16] Equipment Business Developments - The equipment business includes mining heavy trucks, mining equipment, and wall-climbing robots, with successful deliveries already made [14] - Partnerships with companies like Hunan Chuangyuan and Jitai Intelligent are expected to become significant growth points in the future [14] Conclusion - Longking Environmental is positioned for strong growth in the green energy sector, supported by significant shareholder investment and a stable environmental protection business. The company is exploring new technologies and markets, which could enhance its profitability and market valuation in the coming years.
龙净环保(600388):龙净环保投资凯兰庚水电、麻米措能源站点评:刚果(金)水电项目双高带来高盈利能力
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-09-15 09:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Longking Environmental [2] Core Views - The report highlights the high profitability of the Congo (DRC) hydropower projects, specifically the Kailangeng hydropower station and the Mami Cuo energy station, which are expected to significantly contribute to the company's profits [5][6] - The company is positioned to benefit from its strategic investments in clean energy and environmental protection, with a strong pipeline of projects and contracts [5][6] Financial Forecast Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: Projected revenues for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 10,019.42 million, 11,807.95 million, 13,221.30 million, and 14,701.36 million respectively, with a revenue growth rate of -8.69% in 2024, followed by 17.85%, 11.97%, and 11.19% in the subsequent years [6] - **Net Profit Forecast**: Expected net profits for the same years are 830.40 million, 1,163.96 million, 1,425.03 million, and 1,666.14 million, with profit growth rates of 63.15%, 40.17%, 22.43%, and 16.92% respectively [6] - **Key Ratios**: The projected PE ratios for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 20.08, 14.33, 11.70, and 10.01 respectively, indicating a decreasing trend in valuation multiples as earnings grow [6][7] Project Highlights - **Kailangeng Hydropower Project**: The project has a total investment of approximately 3.99 billion USD, with an expected annual generation of 714 million kWh and a high utilization rate of 5,100 hours per year. The electricity price for mining operations is around 0.16 USD/kWh [5] - **Mami Cuo Energy Station**: This project is expected to have a competitive electricity settlement price of 0.7 RMB/kWh and is projected to generate an average annual output of 761 million kWh [5] Strategic Positioning - The company is focusing on a dual strategy of environmental protection and new energy, with significant contracts in hand and a strong market position in the environmental sector [5][6] - The integration of energy production, storage, and consumption in remote areas is expected to enhance the stability and profitability of the company's projects [5]