A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资动 和中证 2000（-1.55%）跌幅最大。当年涨跌情况，创业板指（47.16%）涨幅最大， 其次是中证 2000（30.22%）和中证 500（26.46%），中证 1000（24.17%）和中证全 指（21.27%）涨幅缩小，而上证 50（9.54%）涨幅最小。另外，创业板指连续八周 连阳。 ◆均线比较：除上证 50，其余跟踪指数全部跌破 5 日均线，中证 1000 和中证全指 跌破 10 日均线，上证 50 和中证 2000 跌破 20 日均线。各跟踪指数已远离近 250 日 高位超过 1%。 证券研究报告·金融工程报告 2025 年 9 月 29 日 江海证券研究发展部 金融工程定期报告 金融工程研究组 A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资动态 2025.09.29 ◆市场表现：2025 年 9 月 26 日, 各宽基指数（表 1）全部下跌，其中创业板指（-2.6%） 投资要点： 分析师：梁俊炜 执业证书编号：S1410524090001 相关研究报告 态 2025.09.26 A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资动 态 2025.09.25 A 股市场快照：宽基指数每日投资 ...

The provided content does not contain any specific quantitative models or factors, nor does it detail their construction, evaluation, or backtesting results. The report primarily focuses on descriptive statistics and market analysis of broad-based indices in the A-share market, including metrics such as risk premium, PE-TTM, dividend yield, and turnover rates. Below is a summary of the key points extracted from the content: Quantitative Analysis and Metrics - **Market Performance**: The report tracks the performance of broad-based indices such as the CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and others, analyzing daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly returns[1][10][12] - **Moving Averages**: All indices have fallen below their 5-day moving averages, with the ChiNext Index showing the most significant distance from its moving average support levels[15][17] - **Turnover Rates**: The CSI 2000 has the highest turnover rate (4.56), while the CSI 1000 and ChiNext Index follow with 3.06 and 3.28, respectively[19][20] - **Risk Premium**: The CSI 300 and ChiNext Index exhibit high 5-year percentile risk premiums (54.52% and 47.62%), while the CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 show lower values (31.11% and 24.21%)[31][32][33] - **PE-TTM**: The CSI 500 and CSI All Share Index have the highest 5-year PE-TTM percentiles (99.75% and 96.61%), while the ChiNext Index has a relatively lower percentile (59.5%)[43][45][46] - **Dividend Yield**: The ChiNext Index and CSI 1000 have the highest 5-year dividend yield percentiles (66.03% and 44.46%), while the CSI 500 and CSI 2000 have the lowest (14.88% and 13.14%)[55][56] - **Break-even Rates**: The ChiNext Index has the lowest break-even rate (1.0%), while the CSI 2000 and CSI 1000 follow with 3.35% and 7.4%, respectively[57] Observations on Statistical Distributions - **Kurtosis and Skewness**: The ChiNext Index has the highest kurtosis and skewness, indicating a higher concentration of returns and a greater likelihood of extreme positive returns. Conversely, the CSI 2000 has the lowest values, suggesting a more dispersed return distribution[26][27] Risk Premium Analysis - **Volatility Trends**: The risk premium of indices like the CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 shows significant volatility, with notable spikes in September 2024 and April 2025 due to external events[30][31] - **Distribution Characteristics**: The CSI 1000, CSI 2000, and ChiNext Index exhibit more dispersed risk premium distributions, indicating higher uncertainty compared to indices like the SSE 50 and CSI 300, which have more concentrated distributions[36][37] PE-TTM and Valuation - **Historical Trends**: The PE-TTM values of most indices have shown a sharp increase since September 2024, with the CSI 500 and CSI All Share Index reaching the highest valuation levels relative to their historical ranges[41][43][45] - **Investment Implications**: The report highlights that no indices currently exceed their 80% valuation opportunity threshold, with the CSI 500 falling below its 20% danger threshold[48] Dividend Yield Analysis - **Historical Context**: The ChiNext Index and CSI 1000 have the highest historical dividend yield percentiles, suggesting their attractiveness in terms of cash flow returns. In contrast, the CSI 500 and CSI 2000 have the lowest percentiles, indicating less favorable dividend yields[55][56] Break-even Rates - **Current Levels**: The ChiNext Index has the lowest break-even rate, reflecting a more optimistic market valuation, while the CSI 2000 and CSI 1000 have slightly higher rates, indicating relatively lower market confidence[57] This report does not include specific quantitative models or factors, nor does it provide detailed construction methodologies, formulas, or backtesting results. Instead, it focuses on descriptive metrics and their implications for market analysis.

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the banking wealth management industry Core Insights - The banking wealth management market's total scale reached 31.22 trillion yuan by the end of June, reflecting a 5.22% increase since the beginning of the year, indicating resilience amid market pressures [12] - Recent trends show a recovery in the yields of bank wealth management products, with cash management products recording a 7-day annualized yield of 1.48%, up 5 basis points week-on-week [16][20] - The report highlights a significant increase in the issuance of QDII quotas, totaling 30.8 billion USD, aimed at enhancing the operational capacity of qualified domestic institutional investors [11] Regulatory and Industry Dynamics - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange has issued new QDII quotas to qualified domestic institutional investors, totaling 30.8 billion USD, to support healthy development in the foreign exchange market [11] - The banking wealth management market maintained a stable scale of 31 trillion yuan, driven by a "deposit migration" phenomenon due to a new round of deposit rate cuts [12] Peer Innovation Dynamics - 招银理财 has introduced a floating management fee model for its wealth management products, significantly reducing fees to 0.25% per year, which is lower than the conventional rates of 0.4%-0.6% [13] - 工银理财 participated in the cornerstone investment for the IPO of IFBH in Hong Kong, securing approximately 4 million USD, marking a significant move into the new consumption sector [14] - 交银理财 launched its first charitable wealth management product, successfully donating excess returns to a public welfare foundation [15] Yield Performance - The yields of various bank wealth management products have shown a general recovery, with cash management products and fixed-income products experiencing different degrees of yield increases [18][19] - The report notes that the credit spread has continued to narrow, remaining at historical low levels since September 2024, which may limit the attractiveness of credit investments [19] Net Value Tracking - The net value of bank wealth management products has a current break-even rate of 0.70%, which has increased by 0.26 percentage points week-on-week, indicating ongoing low levels [27][29] - The report emphasizes the relationship between the break-even rate and credit spreads, noting that a sustained increase in credit spreads could pressure the break-even rate further [27]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese asset management market is expected to reach 154 trillion yuan in 2024, growing by 10% year-on-year, driven by valuation increases and capital inflows, while facing challenges from declining yields and evolving resident demands [5][6] Industry Dynamics - On June 6, Everbright Bank and Everbright Wealth Management released a report indicating significant competition and product low volatility in the public fund and bank wealth management sectors, necessitating new development strategies [2][5] - The recent executive swap at China Merchants Bank's wealth management and fund divisions highlights the importance of leadership continuity within the organization, with both new and returning executives being seasoned professionals from the same banking system [2][5] - The number of personal pension wealth management products in China has expanded to 35, following the addition of two new products by Bank of China Wealth Management, reflecting ongoing efforts to enhance the pension financial system [6] - Several wealth management companies, including Bank of China Wealth Management and Agricultural Bank of China Wealth Management, have announced fee reductions for their products, with some management fees dropping to historical lows, sparking discussions about the "floor price" for bank wealth management fees [6] Yield Performance - For the week of June 9-15, 2025, cash management products recorded an annualized yield of 1.41%, down 2 basis points, while money market funds saw a slight increase to 1.30%, up 1 basis point, indicating a narrowing yield spread between the two [8][10] - Various fixed income and fixed income plus products experienced a rebound in annualized yields, influenced by a relatively loose funding environment and geopolitical events, while credit spreads have reached historical lows [11][14] - The bank wealth management product's net asset value (NAV) ratio was 0.93%, showing a slight increase of 3 basis points, indicating a stable low level, with credit spreads remaining flat [14]