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招商证券:黄鸡高景气延续 白羽鸡9月转亏
智通财经网· 2025-10-20 06:52
Group 1 - The report from China Merchants Securities indicates that the supply of white feather chicken chicks is tight in September, leading to a rise in chick prices, although the support for prices is limited due to cost control needs in the breeding sector [1][3] - The average price of white feather chicken chicks in September was 3.27 yuan per chick, down 8.3% year-on-year and 0.7% month-on-month; the average price of broiler chickens was 6.99 yuan per kilogram, down 3.2% year-on-year and 2.4% month-on-month [1] - The breeding sector is experiencing losses due to rising chick costs and low broiler prices, with an average loss of 1 yuan per chick in September [1] Group 2 - The yellow feather chicken market saw a significant recovery in September, with prices rising due to improved demand and the upcoming National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival [2][3] - The average price of fast-growing yellow chickens in September was 5.41 yuan per jin, up 2.5% year-on-year and 6% month-on-month; the average price of Xueshan grass chickens was 8.95 yuan per jin, up 5.1% year-on-year and 3% month-on-month [2] - Major companies in the yellow feather chicken sector have seen a reduction in out-of-pocket costs, with costs dropping to around 5.6 yuan per jin for Wens Foodstuffs and below 5.5 yuan per jin for Lihua [2][3] Group 3 - The supply of parent stock for white feather chickens is expected to be tight in the second half of 2025 due to a significant decrease in overseas imports, which will also affect the supply of commercial broiler chicks in 2026 [3] - The current low inventory levels of parent stock for yellow feather chickens, combined with ongoing industry losses, are setting the stage for future price increases [3] - The long-term outlook for the ice-fresh yellow feather chicken market remains positive, driven by changing consumer habits, the implementation of sales bans, and economic recovery [3]