科技板块调整
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热门科技类ETF四季度表现承压,调整何时结束?
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-11-19 07:47
Core Viewpoint - The technology sector is experiencing a significant adjustment, with a shift towards value stocks, leading to a debate on whether the market style has switched [1][4]. Market Performance - As of November 18, multiple robotics-themed ETFs have dropped over 14% in the fourth quarter, while previously strong sectors like AI are also seeing declines [2][4]. - The three major indices of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board have experienced varying degrees of decline, with the Sci-Tech 50 Index down 9.19%, the Sci-Tech 100 Index down 8.16%, and the Sci-Tech 200 Index down 6.5% [2][3]. - Despite the recent downturn, the Sci-Tech 50 Index has risen over 37% year-to-date, with the Sci-Tech 100 and 200 indices showing gains exceeding 45% [2]. Factors Influencing Adjustments - The recent adjustments in the technology sector are attributed to three main factors: significant gains in tech stocks since Q2 leading to profit-taking, capital flowing into defensive sectors, and the impact of declining US tech stocks [3][4]. - The current market environment has seen a shift towards traditional value stocks, with sectors like coal, energy, and rare metals leading the market, with the largest ETF in this category rising over 11% [4]. Investment Strategies - Investment professionals suggest a cautious approach to technology ETFs, recommending a gradual accumulation strategy during this adjustment phase [1][6]. - The technology sector is still viewed as a long-term investment focus, supported by policy and industry fundamentals, despite short-term volatility [6]. Future Outlook - Analysts believe that the technology sector may stabilize around Q2 of the following year, contingent on significant policy stimuli or breakthroughs in technology [6]. - The current valuation of the Sci-Tech 50 Index is around 152 times PE (TTM), while the Sci-Tech 100 and 200 indices are above 200 times, indicating a potential caution among investors due to high valuations [4][5].