Group 1 - The A-share market showed strength on July 29, with the ChiNext Index rising by 1.28% and the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) increasing by 1.18%, with a trading volume exceeding 31 million yuan [1] - Over the past 30 trading days, the Tianhong ChiNext ETF has accumulated a gain of over 15% [1] - As of July 28, the latest circulating scale of the Tianhong ChiNext ETF is 8.724 billion yuan, closely tracking the ChiNext Index, which consists of 100 representative companies in the ChiNext market [3] Group 2 - Notable stocks within the ChiNext Index include Tianfu Communication, which rose over 12%, along with other stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang, Taige Pharmaceutical, and Xinyisheng [2] - The current market structure is shifting from a "barbell strategy" to "middle assets," with the technology and innovation sectors, represented by the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech 50, experiencing a cyclical turning point [3] - The first quarter profit growth rate of the ChiNext Index reached 19%, highlighting its profitability advantage among broad-based indices [3] Group 3 - The 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference is expected to catalyze new products and demands in the domestic AI industry chain, focusing on ten major sectors including AI infrastructure and intelligent terminals [4] - The AI industry chain in China is entering a phase of large-scale demonstration applications, with intelligent computing power expected to double by 2026, reaching a market size of approximately 33.7 billion USD [4] - Benefiting from the trends of inclusivity and intelligent equality, sectors such as scientific research, intelligent driving, and fintech are anticipated to gain from the widespread adoption of AI applications [4]

林荣雄策略：5 月科技第二波：初现端倪 20250506 摘要 • 五一期间全球股市普遍上涨，风险偏好上升，费城半导体指数和中国金融 指数均上涨，伦铜和布油也呈现上涨态势，但人民币汇率信号诡异，需进 一步评估。新台币升值或与东亚国家缓解与美贸易矛盾有关。 • 政治局会议后，中美关税博弈降温，美方释放谈判信号，市场预期关税谈 判旨在避免全球经济衰退，推动风险资产定价上升。尽管谈判过程漫长， 但双方愿意谈判对风险资产定价提供了重要窗口期。 • 国内二季度基本面存在环比走弱压力，4 月 PMI 和 EPMI 数据不理想，预 计经济环比走弱幅度不小。PMI 新出口订单分项降至 44.7%，超过 2018 年关税战最低水平，对国内基本面和政策形成压力，不认为有大级别上涨 行情。 • 大盘指数在黄金坑后突破 3,300 点，接近出坑，但只能做震荡式判断。二 次探底可能性较低，对应强预期弱现实状态。A 股高低切换指数接近区间 下沿，表明此前高位调整基本结束，新一轮主线正在酝酿，科技尤其是 AI 科技科创可能性较大。 Q&A 今年科技板块的走势如何？未来是否有回升的可能？ 今年整体对科技板块的节奏判断较为准确。从 2 月中旬 ...