稀土供需错配
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稀土供需错配加剧,氧化镨钕价格飙升至84.98万元/吨,稀土ETF嘉实(516150)聚焦稀土产业链投资机遇
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 02:39
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant increase in the rare earth industry, driven by strong demand from the new energy vehicle and wind power sectors, leading to a notable rise in prices of praseodymium and neodymium oxide [1] - As of February 27, 2026, the China Rare Earth Industry Index rose by 3.14%, with key stocks such as Xiamen Tungsten rising by 8.94% and Baotou Steel by 8.05% [1] - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide reached 849.82 yuan/kg (84.98 million yuan/ton), marking a 12.2% increase in the past month and a 56% increase over the past three months, the highest level in 19 months [1] Group 2 - According to Guotai Junan Securities, the rare earth industry is experiencing a significant supply-demand mismatch, with China's rare earth separation capacity expected to account for nearly 90% of global capacity by 2025 [1] - The demand for neodymium-iron-boron is projected to continue expanding, with an expected year-on-year growth rate of 8.39% in global praseodymium and neodymium oxide demand in 2026 [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Earth Industry Index account for 61.43% of the index, with companies like Northern Rare Earth and Jinfeng Technology among the leaders [1] Group 3 - The rare earth ETF by Jiashi (516150) closely tracks the China Rare Earth Industry Index, providing a convenient tool for investors to access the domestic rare earth industry chain [2] - Investors can also utilize the Jiashi Rare Earth ETF linked fund (011036) to capitalize on investment opportunities in the rare earth sector [2]
国投证券:稀土供需格局重塑 价格中枢或上移
智通财经网· 2026-02-27 01:49
智通财经APP获悉,国投证券发布研报称,稀土作为新能源与高端制造关键战略资源,行业目前已现显 著供需错配:全球稀土分离冶炼产能高度集中于中国,叠加国内全环节配额收紧,供给刚性凸显;下游 需求扩张带动钕铁硼用量提升,助推镨钕氧化物价格上行,此轮政策驱动型涨价支撑坚实。 国投证券主要观点如下: 供给主导:中国冶炼分离垄断全球,短期海外增量难补充 中国在稀土供给端占据绝对主导地位:2025年全球稀土储量超8500万吨,中国占比51%,"北轻南重"的 资源分布格局筑牢供给基础;其中分离环节优势突出,2025年我国稀土分离产能占全球近90%,技术水 平全球顶尖,掌控稀土氧化物产出核心。轻稀土海外局部突破,重稀土产业化尚远,且短期内难形成有 效补充,核心海外供应商莱纳斯2025年氧化镨钕预计产量仅8000吨,且海外整体供给规模有限,全球稀 土供给对中国依赖度持续深化。 政策收束:总量管控全面收紧,供给刚性凸显 稀土行业政策收紧态势显著且持续加码:2024年中国开采与冶炼分离规模同比增速分别降至12.5%、 10.43%,供给扩张持续收窄;2025年《稀土开采和稀土冶炼分离总量调控管理暂行办法》落地,首次将 海外进口精矿冶 ...