新材料 分析师：石临源 登记编码：S0730525020001 河南省印发有色金属产业提质升级行动计划， Diamond Foundry 投建金刚石晶圆工厂 ——新材料行业月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 发布日期：2025 年 11 月 28 日 shily@ccnew.com 0371-65585629 新材料相对沪深 300 指数表现 -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2022-11-28 2023-07-05 2024-02-02 2024-09-10 2025-04-22 2025-11-25 新材料指数 沪深300 资料来源：中原证券研究所，聚源 相关报告 《新材料行业月报：《有色金属行业稳增长工 作方案》印发，几内亚铝土矿出口第三季度显 著增长》 2025-10-31 《新材料行业月报：河南省印发加快人工智能 赋能新型工业化行动方案，2025 金刚石产业 大会成功举办》 2025-09-26 《新材料行业月报：8 月基本金属价格多数上 涨，新材料指数走势较强》 2025-08-28 联系人：李智 风险提示：技术进展不及预期；上游 ...

数据显示，截至2025年10月31日，中证稀土产业指数前十大权重股分别为北方稀土、卧龙电驱、领益智 造、中国稀土、厦门钨业、中国铝业、盛和资源、金风科技、包钢股份、格林美，前十大权重股合计占 比61.61%。 2025年11月27日早盘，稀土板块一度冲高上行，截至13:06，中证稀土产业指数上涨0.33%，成分股丰元 股份上涨3.15%，科恒股份上涨3.13%，领益智造上涨2.74%，科力远上涨1.34%，横店东磁上涨0.80%。 作为战略小金属，稀土产品价格受供需关系影响，一直处于波动状态。有机构表示，对于中长期市场走 势，对稀土发展充满信心，最根本的是，稀土这一重要资源的战略地位和应用前景没有改变，支撑行业 发展的要素条件或没有改变，稀土行业高质量发展的态势或没有改变。 东方证券指出，出口管制暂缓实施，海外需求有望增长。根据商务部官网，中方将暂停实施10月9日公 布的相关出口管制等措施一年。此前市场担心海外需求受出口管制政策影响，或影响稀土产品需求及价 格，产业链也多采取观望态度。向后看，随着中美双方就相关问题达成共识，稀土产品出口渠道有望得 到畅通，海外需求有望迎来大幅增长，氧化镨钕价格有望恢复上涨。 ...

智通财经记者 | 田鹤琪 被中国稀土集团收编一年半后，广晟有色(600259.SH)迎来正式更名。 11月24日晚，广晟有色发布公告称，拟将中文名称"广晟有色金属股份有限公司"变更为"中稀有色金属 股份有限公司"，英文名称"Rising Nonferrous Metals Share Co.,Ltd."变更为"ChinaRare Earth Nonferrous Metals Co.,Ltd."，证券简称"广晟有色"变更为"中稀有色"，证券代码"600259"保持不变。 对于更名原因，广晟有色表示，这是为了全面融入中国稀土集团有限公司(下称中国稀土集团)，更好发 挥自身上游稀土资源优势和粤港澳大湾区地域优势，提高公司知名度及美誉度等。 该公司当前主业主要围绕稀土产业上下游，同步拓展钨、铜等战略性稀有金属资源开发和应用。 在稀土行业历经多次整合的大背景下，这类 "整合后更名" 已成为行业常态。 一业内人士告诉智通财经："之前其他的企业也有类似的情况，比如江铜稀土，被整合之后改名为中稀 凉山了。" 公开信息显示，中稀（凉山）稀土有限公司的前身为四川江铜稀土有限责任公司，于2008年8月27日在 冕宁县注册成立。现 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the metals industry, indicating an upward cycle despite liquidity disturbances [2][3]. Core Views - The Federal Reserve's indecisiveness regarding interest rate cuts and changing market sentiment towards AI narratives have led to fluctuations in base metal prices. However, the fundamentals for energy metals remain strong, with prices trending upwards [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Precious Metals - Market sentiment is affected by volatility in risk assets and central banks reducing gold reserves. The Federal Reserve's mixed economic assessments and fluctuating expectations for a December rate cut dominate the market [5][7]. - Gold prices as of November 21: SHFE gold decreased by 3.36% to 926.94 CNY/g, while COMEX gold fell by 0.77% to 4062.80 USD/oz [7][25]. - China's gold reserves increased by 30,000 ounces to 7,409 million ounces as of the end of October, marking 12 consecutive months of growth [7]. 2. Copper - Copper prices are under pressure due to fluctuating expectations for interest rate cuts. As of November 21, SHFE copper decreased by 1.43% to 85,660 CNY/ton, and LME copper fell by 0.69% to 10,777.5 USD/ton [10][22]. - The supply side is impacted by an accident in the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand remains strong, particularly from AI data centers and power grids [10][22]. 3. Aluminum - Aluminum prices are experiencing high volatility due to macroeconomic expectations. As of November 21, SHFE aluminum decreased by 2.29% to 21,340 CNY/ton, and LME aluminum fell by 2.54% to 2,786 USD/ton [9][22]. - Domestic electrolytic aluminum supply remains stable, while overseas supply concerns persist. The processing operating rate is steady at 62% [9][22]. 4. Energy Metals - The lithium sector shows strong demand, with lithium prices trending upwards. As of last week, lithium carbonate production was 22,100 tons, up by 585 tons, while inventory decreased by 2,052 tons [11]. - Cobalt prices remain high due to tight upstream raw material supply, while demand from the downstream sector is cautious [11]. 5. Rare Earths - Prices for praseodymium and neodymium have slightly increased before retreating, with no significant changes in the fundamentals. As of November 21, prices were 549,000 CNY/ton for praseodymium and neodymium, and 1,485,000 CNY/ton for dysprosium [12].

指数估值：截至2025/11/20，中证稀土产业指数PETTM为38.5，位于近十年估值分位数为46.1%，重回 长期估值中枢以内。 价格表现：截至11/20，氧化镨钕价格升至55.5万元/吨，周环比涨1万元/吨，月环比涨5万元/吨，涨幅 10%。中美关系缓和带动出口预期向好，稀土产业下游补库热情高涨，国内稀土价格上涨预期相应受到 充分提升，需求端量价齐升态势有望延续。近期，北方稀土在互动平台表示，目前公司磁性材料订单饱 满，执行良好。 产业趋势：我国具备全球优势的稀土产业链在国际经贸斗争背景下展现出巨大战略价值。在稀土行业管 制不断升级和供需改善的驱动下，国内稀土价格未来上涨预期持续攀升。当前氧化镨钕为代表的稀土价 格延续高位运行，下半年稀土产业有望保持业绩高增。长期看，稀土行业的供需关系出现实质性好转， 供给端，稀土开采和稀土冶炼分离总量调控管理办法落地，中长期供给无虞，国内稀土指标增速放缓使 供给增幅大幅落后于需求扩张；需求端机器人、低空经济、军工等产业发展带动需求释放，供需两端共 振向好；海外端，高冶炼成本支撑价差，美国收购底价拉高价格基数，提振涨价预期，稀土战略价值迎 来重估。 相关产品：稀土ETF ...

Group 1: New Materials Industry - The rare earth magnetic materials industry experienced a decline of 4.08% this week, underperforming the benchmark by 3 percentage points [2] - The industry valuation (TTM P/E) fell by 3.32 times to 73.9 times, currently at 87.2% of its historical percentile [2] - Prices of rare earth concentrates showed a slight decline, with mixed carbonate rare earth ore prices dropping by 2.78% [3] - Praseodymium and neodymium prices peaked and then fell, with praseodymium oxide average price decreasing by 1.8% [3] - Dysprosium prices continued to decline, with an average decrease of 2.58% for dysprosium oxide [4] - The price of sintered neodymium-iron-boron N35 decreased by 1.45%, indicating weak demand and limited order releases [4] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The short-term prices in the rare earth sector are driven by market sentiment, with supply expected to decrease before the end of the year, while demand remains positive [5] - The overall valuation and performance levels are supported by loose liquidity and industrial policies, but high valuations may face pressure due to declining market risk appetite [5] - The industry maintains an "overweight" rating, with expectations for price recovery and improved market conditions following the easing of export controls [6] - Focus on upstream rare earth resource companies is recommended due to expected supply contraction and strategic value positioning [6] - Downstream magnetic material companies are also expected to benefit from price recovery, particularly those with strong customer structures and new growth opportunities [6] Group 3: Food and Beverage Industry - The food and beverage industry saw a decline of 0.56% from November 3 to November 7, while outperforming the broader market indices [8] - The industry valuation is currently at a low level, with a PE ratio of 22X, ranking 23rd among primary industries [9] - The CPI showed a mild increase of 0.2% in October, with food prices declining by 2.9% [10][11] - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on leading companies with stable demand and strong risk resistance, as well as those innovating in new products and channels [12] - The food and beverage sector maintains a "buy" rating, emphasizing the potential for recovery in the current low valuation environment [12]

Group 1: Aluminum Market - LME aluminum price increased by 0.52% to $2877.00 per ton, while Shanghai aluminum rose by 0.99% to 21,800 yuan per ton [3] - Domestic electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory recorded at 621,000 tons, a decrease of 6,000 tons compared to earlier in the week [3] - National alumina production capacity stands at 110.32 million tons per year, with operational capacity at 89.56 million tons per year; weekly operating rate decreased by 0.81 percentage points to 81.18% [3] Group 2: Copper Market - LME copper price rose by 1.53% to $10,859.00 per ton, and Shanghai copper increased by 1.12% to 86,900 yuan per ton [2] - Import copper concentrate processing fee index dropped to -$42.21 per ton; national inventory increased by 5,200 tons to 201,100 tons [2] - Domestic waste anode plate production remains high with an operating rate of 73.62%, expected to rise by 2.61 percentage points next week [2] Group 3: Gold Market - COMEX gold price increased by 4.16% to $4,174.50 per ounce; SPDR gold holdings rose by 6.87 tons to 1,048.93 tons [4] - Market influenced by U.S. political dysfunction and geopolitical risks, leading to a strong oscillation pattern [4] Group 4: Rare Earth and Antimony - Praseodymium and neodymium prices decreased by 1.40%; rare earth prices expected to rise due to increased demand following the suspension of control measures [5] - Antimony price increased by 15.5% due to resource scarcity and reduced global supply [5] Group 5: Tin and Lithium - Tin price increased by 3.11% as Indonesia cracks down on illegal mining [6] - Lithium carbonate price rose by 3.14% to 83,200 yuan per ton, with total production at 21,500 tons [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the copper, aluminum, and precious metals sectors, indicating a high level of market activity and potential for growth [2][3][4][5]. Core Insights - Copper prices have shown a weekly increase of 1.53% to $10,859.00 per ton on the LME, with domestic prices rising by 1.12% to 86,900 yuan per ton, reflecting a recovery in demand as the market approaches the traditional peak season [2][14]. - Aluminum prices also increased, with LME aluminum up 0.52% to $2,877.00 per ton, supported by low inventory levels and stable demand from downstream processing industries [3][15]. - Gold prices surged by 4.16% to $4,174.5 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties in the U.S., indicating strong investor interest in safe-haven assets [4][16]. - The rare earth sector is experiencing upward momentum due to increased demand and the suspension of export control measures, leading to a bullish outlook for companies involved in rare earth production [5][32]. Summary by Sections Copper - LME copper price increased by 1.53% to $10,859.00 per ton, with domestic prices at 86,900 yuan per ton [2][14]. - The processing fee index for imported copper concentrate dropped to -$42.21 per ton, indicating supply chain pressures [2][14]. - Domestic copper inventory rose by 0.52 million tons to 20.11 million tons, reflecting a cautious market sentiment [2][14]. Aluminum - LME aluminum price rose by 0.52% to $2,877.00 per ton, with domestic prices at 21,800 yuan per ton [3][15]. - Domestic aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 0.6 million tons, indicating a tightening supply [3][15]. - The operating rate of downstream aluminum processing enterprises increased slightly to 62%, suggesting stable demand [3][15]. Precious Metals - COMEX gold price increased by 4.16% to $4,174.5 per ounce, with SPDR gold holdings rising by 6.87 tons to 1,048.93 tons [4][16]. - The market is influenced by U.S. political instability and geopolitical tensions, leading to a strong demand for gold [4][16]. Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide decreased by 1.40%, but overall demand is expected to rise due to the suspension of export controls [5][32]. - The rare earth sector is projected to benefit from increased strategic importance and price appreciation [5][32]. Other Metals - Antimony prices increased by 15.5%, driven by a suspension of export controls and a tightening supply situation [5][34]. - Tin prices rose by 3.11%, supported by reduced illegal mining activities in Indonesia [5][35]. - Lithium carbonate prices increased by 3.14% to 83,200 yuan per ton, reflecting strong demand in the energy storage sector [5][61].

证券研究报告 2025 年 11 月 16 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 稀土磁材行业周报 1 本周行业涨跌幅及价格统计时间区间为 2025/11/10 至 2025/11/14，下同。 2 估值历史分位数计算使用数据区间为 2012/02/17 至 2025/11/14，下同。 敬请阅读末页之重要声明 行业评级：增持（维持） 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 -18 -1 47 绝对收益 -16 10 61 注：相对收益与沪深 300 相比 分析师：王攀 证书编号：S0500520120001 Tel：(8621) 50293524 Email：wangpan2@xcsc.com 本周行业继续调整，产业链价格短期转弱 相关研究： | 《本周行业表现延续弱势，轻重稀土价格走 | | | --- | --- | | 势分化》 | 20251109 | | 《本周板块小幅下跌，产业链价格回升》 | | | 20251103 | | 据 Wind 数据，本周1稀土磁材行业下跌 4.08%，跑输基准（沪深 300） 3pct。行业估值（市盈率 TTM）回落 3.32x 至 73.9x， ...

Group 1: Tungsten Market - Black tungsten concentrate price increased by 12.23% to 312,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate price rose by 13.30% to 460,000 CNY/ton [1][3] - Supply side shows a reduction in tungsten concentrate mining indicators, with mines generally slowing production pace, leading to tighter industry circulation [1][3] - Domestic demand remains stable, primarily driven by essential procurement, with recent APT procurement prices for early November rising by 52,000 CNY/ton, boosting market bullish sentiment [1][3] Group 2: Rare Earth Market - Rare earth supply and demand are both weak, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide rising by 10.49% to 553,000 CNY/ton, while dysprosium oxide increased by 1.63% to 1,560,000 CNY/ton [2] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced new export controls on rare earth items and technologies, targeting violations of existing measures [2] - Supply side sees some production companies controlling output due to cost pressures, while demand from downstream magnetic material companies remains low [2] Group 3: Molybdenum Market - Molybdenum concentrate price decreased by 9.78% to 3,965 CNY/ton, and molybdenum iron price fell by 7.62% to 254,500 CNY/ton [2] - Supply side indicates signs of shrinking molybdenum concentrate, while demand from steel procurement is increasing but facing price pressure from steel mills [2] Group 4: Tin Market - Tin prices are experiencing a weak supply-demand balance, with SHFE tin down by 0.28% to 283,500 CNY/ton and LME tin up by 0.35% to 36,100 USD/ton [3] - Supply side affected by low operating rates of refining tin smelting enterprises due to raw material shortages from Myanmar [3] - High tin prices are leading to low replenishment willingness in the electronics and home appliance sectors, with downstream manufacturers primarily engaging in essential procurement [3] Group 5: Antimony Market - Antimony ingot price decreased by 6.27% to 149,500 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate price fell by 7.07% to 131,500 CNY/ton [4] - Supply side sees tight domestic antimony raw materials due to a halt in overseas mines entering the domestic market, coupled with weak smelting profitability [4] - Demand remains focused on essential procurement, with strong demand in the photovoltaic sector, while short-term export demand is under pressure [4] Group 6: Nuclear Fusion New Materials - The commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion is accelerating, with upstream materials expected to benefit significantly [5] - Domestic advancements include breakthroughs in the localization of second-generation high-temperature superconducting strips [5] - Internationally, significant investments and reports on fusion research are emerging, indicating a growing interest in the sector [5]