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柠萌影视(09857.HK):业绩符合市场预期 关注长剧产能释放弹性
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-02 11:57
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in 1H25, with revenue and profit figures meeting market expectations, indicating a positive growth trajectory in both short and long-form content production [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 401 million yuan in 1H25, representing a year-on-year growth of 108% [1]. - Non-IFRS net profit reached 14.44 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses and falling within the forecast range of 13-15 million yuan [1]. - Gross margin improved to 25.2% in 1H25, with a reduction in sales and management expenses contributing to profitability [2]. Group 2: Content Production and Strategy - The company is focusing on high-quality drama development, with short drama revenue exceeding 50 million yuan in 1H25 and a significant increase in short drama output, totaling over 3,400 minutes, a 70% year-on-year increase [1][2]. - Long-form content production is progressing steadily, with the release of the series "书卷一梦" and ongoing projects in various stages of production, indicating a robust pipeline for future releases [1][2]. Group 3: International Expansion - The company’s overseas business revenue surpassed 33 million yuan in 1H25, approximately 2.5 times that of 1H24, highlighting successful international distribution strategies [2]. - The company is actively expanding its distribution of long-form content in markets such as Vietnam, Malaysia, and Russia, with notable releases on multiple international platforms [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company anticipates a gradual release of production capacity in 2026, with a focus on the elasticity of long-form content business [2]. - Adjustments to profit forecasts reflect the impact of new business investments, with a projected Non-IFRS net profit of 42.93 million yuan for 2025 and an increase to 173 million yuan for 2026 [2].
中金:维持柠萌影视跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至5.3港元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 03:01
Core Viewpoint - CICC has downgraded the Non-IFRS net profit forecast for Lingmeng Film and Television (09857) for 2025 by 60.6% to 42.93 million yuan due to investments in new businesses like short dramas, while raising the 2026 forecast by 48.7% to 173 million yuan, reflecting expected capacity release in long dramas [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For 1H25, the company reported operating revenue of 401 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 108% [2] - The Non-IFRS net profit for 1H25 was 14.44 million yuan, turning profitable compared to the previous year, aligning with market expectations [1][2] - The company's gross margin for 1H25 improved to 25.2% [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The company is focusing on high-quality drama development and gradually increasing production capacity, with short drama revenue exceeding 50 million yuan in 1H25 [2] - In 1H25, the company launched over 3,400 minutes of short dramas, a 70% year-on-year increase, with a current scale of 16 episodes per month [2] - The overseas business generated over 33 million yuan in revenue in 1H25, 2.5 times that of 1H24, with strategic adjustments in distribution [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company anticipates gradual capacity release for long dramas post-2025, with several projects in production and preparation stages [3] - Upcoming long dramas include "Ziyue Gui" which aired on August 18, and others like "Yue Ming Qian Li" and "Zha Xi" are in the pipeline [3] - The company is advised to maintain focus on the release pace of long drama capacity and the potential for profit improvement [3]