系统性能力建设
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对商业航天产业发展给予更多耐心
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-01-19 16:12
Core Viewpoint - The recent failures in the aerospace sector highlight the critical challenges that commercial space development must overcome for high-quality growth [2] Group 1: Technical Challenges - The need to respect technology and accept trial-and-error costs is emphasized, as technological innovation is rarely straightforward [3] - The failure of the Gushenxing-2 rocket, a medium-sized solid launch vehicle, reflects the objective development trajectory of China's commercial aerospace moving from technology validation to maturity [3] - The failure of the Long March 3B rocket serves as a reminder of the inherent risks present throughout the lifecycle of complex aerospace systems [3] Group 2: Systemic Capacity Building - The commercial aerospace sector in China is entering a high-density launch phase, but reliable, low-cost, and high-frequency launch capacity has not yet been fully established [4] - By 2026, commercial space launch activities are expected to become more active, with several private rockets set for their inaugural flights [4] - Overcoming capacity bottlenecks requires not only increasing launch frequency but also enhancing systemic capabilities, including the development of reusable rockets and large thrust engines [5] - Improvements in rocket manufacturing and delivery efficiency through standardization and scaling are necessary to support higher-density mission sequences [5] Group 3: Learning from Failures - The complexity of commercial aerospace development means that setbacks are often part of the process, necessitating a rational approach to launch failures and a focus on troubleshooting progress [6] - China's commercial aerospace industry benefits from a rigorous "zeroing" mechanism that allows for systematic fault diagnosis and accelerated technological iteration [6] - The parallel exploration of diverse technological routes creates a risk-diversification and technology-complementation framework, potentially shortening the technology maturation cycle [6] - Long-term healthy development of the commercial aerospace sector requires patient capital support, focusing on companies with core technological strengths and clear business paths [6]