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东吴证券给予长江电力买入评级,2026~2030年最低分红比例维持70%,安全边际稳固
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-15 08:00
东吴证券8月15日发布研报称,给予长江电力(600900.SH,最新价:27.63元)买入评级。评级理由主 要包括:1)发电量稳增带动2025H1业绩提升;2)十年期国债收益率下行,红利标杆长江电力空间打 开。风险提示:来水量不及预期,电价波动风险,政策风险,新能源电力市场竞争加剧风险。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) ...
长江电力(600900):2025H1电量稳增,国债收益率下行红利标杆空间打开
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-11 04:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a stable increase in electricity generation in the first half of 2025, with a total generation of approximately 1,266.56 billion kWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.01% [7] - The decline in the ten-year government bond yield opens up space for the company as a dividend benchmark, with a current dividend yield of 3.35% [7] - The company aims to achieve a power generation target of 300 billion kWh in 2025, with projected net profits of 35.03 billion, 36.72 billion, and 37.09 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to be 86,519 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 2.40% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 35,028 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.79% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.43 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.89 [1][8] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 29.90 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 731,599.71 million yuan [5] - The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 3.39 and a debt-to-asset ratio of 59.65% [6][5]