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AH溢价逼近十年新低!收窄交易近尾声后市怎么走?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 06:01
来源:智通财经 智通财经9月30日讯(编辑 胡家荣)近期AH溢价指数逼近10年低位,南下资金成交占比已达40%,港 股配置正成为机构投资者的重要战略选择。对此华泰证券在其研报中讨论在公司同质情况下,如何判断 弹性。 现象:AH溢价的近期表现与市场困惑 AH溢价指数从今年5月的134一度下降至117,处于2018年以来的最低水平。这一现象引发了市场广泛关 注:为何同一家公司在不同市场的股价会出现如此显著的差异? 这种溢价差异不仅突破了最近5年的下限,正在逼近10年下限,且下行速度超过了市场预期。投资者最 关心的是:AH溢价为何持续走低?往后走势如何判断?这对投资决策有何指引? 从历史数据来看,AH溢价并不具备短期快速均值回归的特性。2015年至2019年AH溢价均值为127,而 2021年至2024年则跃升为143,表明其中枢水平本身就不稳定,且指标往往偏离中枢程度大、时间长。 本质:AH溢价存在的根本原因 虽然AH两地股份同属一家上市公司,只具有一个理论上的内在价值,但两地不同投资者对企业价值的 不同估值会以交易行为反应为价格差异。 根本原因在于两地股票无充分套利机制。A股投资者并不能将其股票换成H股去香港交 ...
一年多次分红常态化倒逼红利税问题尽快解决
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-08-29 05:47
Group 1 - In 2024, a record 3,720 listed companies implemented cash dividends totaling 2.4 trillion yuan, marking a historical high [1] - Over 400 companies disclosed interim dividend plans in this year's mid-year report, with a proposed total dividend amount of 180 billion yuan, indicating that interim dividends are becoming a norm for many listed companies [1] - The management encourages cash dividends as a direct and effective way to return value to investors, with policies like the "New National Nine Articles" emphasizing the need for enhanced regulation on cash dividends [1] Group 2 - The normalization of multiple dividends per year is pressuring the resolution of the dividend tax issue, as the current tax system is linked to the holding period of shares [2] - The dividend tax system imposes a differentiated tax rate based on the holding period, which can be seen as unreasonable, especially for individual investors who often face losses [2] - The introduction of multiple dividends per year highlights the unfairness of the dividend tax, as it increases the tax burden on investors who receive interim dividends [3] Group 3 - Two potential solutions to the dividend tax issue are proposed: either abolishing the dividend tax entirely or reforming the tax system to reduce the holding period for tax exemption from 12 months to 6 months [3]