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英财相税收支出政策备受争议,经济学家警告:1970年代经济危机可能重演
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 06:26
Core Viewpoint - Prominent economists warn that the UK is heading towards a debt crisis similar to the 1970s due to the fiscal policies of Chancellor Reeves, potentially forcing the country to seek assistance from the IMF [1][2][3] Economic Situation - The current economic conditions are compared to the 1976 crisis, with predictions of a £50 billion fiscal deficit and concerns over rising borrowing costs [1][5] - The UK's debt-to-GDP ratio has reached 96.3%, one of the highest among developed nations, leading to significant interest payments [5] Fiscal Policy Concerns - Economists express that Reeves' approach of increasing public spending and taxes may lead to demand-pull and cost-push inflation, risking economic collapse [3][5] - There are warnings that further tax increases to cover the deficit could worsen the economic situation, with calls for spending cuts instead [5][6] Political Reactions - Opposition leaders, including Farage and Bardenough, criticize the government's fiscal management, drawing parallels to past economic crises [6] - The UK Treasury spokesperson dismisses claims of a 1970s-style debt crisis as unfounded, asserting that the government is taking necessary measures to stabilize the economy [6]
美国银行接连倒闭!中美经济博弈下,美国经济或将陷入恶性循环?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 02:25
Economic Impact of High Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve's high interest rate policy has led to significant fiscal pressure on the U.S. government, with debt interest payments exceeding $89 billion as of March 2023, translating to an average of $2 million per minute [3] - The continuous increase in interest rates has resulted in a heavy debt burden for the U.S., raising concerns about the sustainability of this fiscal strategy [3][10] - The high interest rates have contributed to unprecedented inflation, severely affecting the quality of life for citizens and leading to a wave of bank failures [4][16] Banking Sector Challenges - The ongoing high interest rates have caused at least five U.S. banks to declare bankruptcy, exacerbating the risk of bank runs as citizens withdraw deposits in response to rising prices [8] - Many banks are facing liquidity issues and are unable to meet customer withdrawal demands, further deepening their financial troubles [8] - The accumulation of credit card debt has also increased banks' liabilities, pushing them into a more precarious financial position [8] Retail Sector Struggles - The closure of multiple stores by the well-known "99 Cents Store" highlights the operational challenges faced by retailers due to rising costs and inflation, reflecting broader economic difficulties [7] - Many small retailers are also shutting down, leading to a rapid decline in consumer confidence [7] Future Economic Outlook - There is growing speculation that the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates by the end of 2023, which could stimulate economic recovery and attract global investment [12] - The changing global economic landscape has prompted China to reduce its reliance on the U.S. dollar and increase investments in gold, positioning itself favorably amid potential economic shocks [14] - The overall economic situation in the U.S. remains precarious, with the possibility of a financial collapse looming as fiscal deficits continue to grow [16][17]