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2025年,因为缺钱,社会或将迎来5大变化,提前做好准备!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 05:13
Economic Trends in China - In 2025, China is undergoing significant economic changes, characterized by five major trends: declining deposit rates, falling but still high housing prices, a growing flexible employment sector, a rise in the trend of not marrying or having children, and the diminishing allure of stable jobs [1] Banking and Savings - Despite continuous reductions in deposit rates since 2024, with rates reaching historical lows, the enthusiasm for savings among the public remains strong. This is attributed to losses in stock markets and other investment channels, leading people to prefer bank deposits for capital preservation [3] Real Estate Market - Since 2022, the real estate market has seen an average price decline of over 30% in some regions by 2025. However, owning a home remains out of reach for many due to persistent high prices and economic pressures such as declining incomes and unemployment. In cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen, the price-to-income ratio exceeds 40, indicating significant purchasing pressure [6] Employment Trends - The flexible employment sector has expanded significantly due to the impact of the pandemic, with 240 million individuals now engaged in flexible jobs such as delivery workers and freelancers. This trend reflects a shift in the job market towards more adaptable employment options [8] Social Trends - The rates of marriage and childbirth in China have been declining, primarily due to high costs associated with weddings and child-rearing. The financial burden of housing and the overall cost of living are major deterrents for young people considering marriage and family [9] Fiscal Challenges - The stability of traditional job security is eroding, particularly in local governments facing reduced fiscal revenues due to a sluggish real estate market. Experts suggest the introduction of property taxes to create new revenue streams for local governments [11] Monetary Policy and Economic Conditions - By 2025, China's broad money supply (M2) has surpassed 304.8 trillion yuan, more than double the GDP, indicating severe monetary overexpansion. Despite this, there is a widespread perception of a cash shortage among citizens, businesses, and governments, leading to a deflationary economic cycle. The core issue lies in the lack of confidence in the market, preventing the effective circulation of money into the real economy [11]