Core Viewpoint - The performance of Melco Resorts in Q3 2025 exceeded consensus expectations, driven by stable operational cost control despite a decline in market share for gaming revenue [1][2] Financial Performance - Melco reported net revenue of $1.31 billion in Q3 2025, an 11% year-on-year increase but a 1% quarter-on-quarter decline, recovering to 91% of Q3 2019 levels [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA was $380 million, up 18% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter, also recovering to 91% of Q3 2019 levels, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $348 million [1] Development Trends - The company noted a weak performance during the Golden Week in October 2025 due to typhoon disruptions, but demand accelerated post-holiday with a 30% year-on-year growth in the following 21 days, achieving the highest monthly total gaming revenue in history at City of Dreams [1] - Management observed that new clients from other countries have been driving growth in direct VIP business in Macau [1] - Following the closure of the Junlong Hotel and Mocha Club in Q3 2025, the company relocated 15 gaming tables to City of Dreams and 90 slot machines to Studio City [1] Strategic Initiatives - A new gaming area was established at the southeast entrance near the Macau light rail station to attract more visitors [2] - Despite intense competition in the Macau gaming industry, Melco believes the long-term trend for high-end mass gaming remains healthy, with no concerns about profit margin erosion [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with the current stock price corresponding to 6 times the 2026 estimated EV/adjusted EBITDA, suggesting a 1% upside potential to the target price of $8.50 [2] - For Melco International Development, the adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 remain unchanged, with a target price of HKD 5.80, indicating a 20% upside potential based on a 20% discount to net asset value [2]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Sands China (1928 HK) Core Insights - In 25Q2, Sands China reported a net revenue of USD 1.79 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, while adjusted EBITDA reached USD 566 million, up 0.9% year-on-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 31.6% [10] - The overall gaming gross revenue (GGR) in Macau increased by 8.3% year-on-year and 6.0% quarter-on-quarter, reaching MOP 61.115 billion in 25Q2 [2] - The Londoner Macao showed impressive performance with a net revenue increase of 44.6% year-on-year, benefiting from the completion of its renovation [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 25Q2, Sands China achieved a net revenue of USD 1.79 billion, with contributions from gaming and non-gaming segments at USD 1.347 billion and USD 0.447 billion respectively, reflecting increases of 1.4% and 5.2% year-on-year [3] - The adjusted property EBITDA for the first half of 2025 was USD 1.101 billion, down 6.0% year-on-year, with a margin of 31.5% [10] Property Performance - The performance of various properties under Sands China varied significantly, with Venetian and Londoner showing contrasting results; Venetian's net revenue decreased by 3.4%, while Londoner's increased by 44.6% due to renovations [3] - The net revenue breakdown by property for 25Q2 was as follows: Venetian at USD 663 million, Londoner at USD 642 million, and Parisian at USD 194 million [3] Gaming Operations - Total betting volume for Sands China in 25Q2 was MOP 155.9 billion, a decline of 5.3% year-on-year, with VIP betting down 23% [4] - The gaming gross revenue reached USD 1.71 billion, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year, with VIP gaming revenue declining by 14.1% [4] Capital Expenditure - The total capital expenditure for Sands China in 25Q2 was USD 286 million, including USD 138 million for construction, development, and maintenance activities in Macau [6] Shareholder Returns - LVS purchased 87 million shares of Sands China at an average price of HKD 16.00, increasing its ownership stake to 73.4% as of July 23, 2025 [5]