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电力设备与新能源行业研究:假期间积极催化密集、港美股强势,电新2026开门红可期
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2026-01-04 09:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the electric new energy sector, particularly highlighting the potential for strong performance in 2026 [5][10]. Core Insights - The electric new energy sector is experiencing significant catalysts, including the rapid IPO progress of companies like Blue Arrow Aerospace and price increases in solar components by Trina Solar, indicating a recovery in profitability [1][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of space photovoltaics and commercial aerospace as key investment themes, alongside the rising prices in energy storage and lithium batteries [5][10]. - The report suggests that the photovoltaic industry is on track for a recovery, driven by price increases and improved profitability across the supply chain [9][10]. Summary by Relevant Sections Photovoltaics & Energy Storage - The report highlights the acceleration of IPOs in the commercial aerospace sector, particularly for space photovoltaics, with significant growth potential [6][8]. - Trina Solar has set a new price range for distributed solar components at 0.82-1.06 CNY/W, which is significantly higher than recent market prices, indicating the start of a price recovery [8][9]. - The report notes ongoing efforts to strengthen intellectual property protections in the photovoltaic industry, which supports the trend of profitability recovery [6][9]. Wind Power - In December, new wind turbine tenders in China reached approximately 10.6 GW, marking a year-on-year increase of 37% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36% [2][11]. - The report anticipates continued growth in domestic demand for wind power in 2026, with significant overseas orders expected to materialize [12][15]. - The average bidding price for land-based wind turbines has remained high, with all power segments achieving over 10% price increases year-on-year [15][16]. Lithium Batteries - January production data indicates a slight decrease in domestic battery production, with a total of 142.54 GWh, down 4.23% month-on-month [22][23]. - Tianqi Lithium has forecasted a substantial increase in net profit for 2025, driven by strong demand in the electric vehicle and energy storage markets [22][23]. - The report highlights the ongoing price recovery in lithium battery materials, with significant growth in sales volumes contributing to improved profitability [22][23]. AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) - The report notes a sustained high market interest in the liquid cooling sector, driven by industry trends and the penetration of leading domestic companies [30][31]. - Investment opportunities are identified in companies that provide comprehensive liquid cooling solutions, particularly as demand for data center infrastructure grows [30][31]. Power Grid - The report mentions the approval of significant high-voltage projects, indicating a rapid acceleration in approvals and tenders for high-voltage equipment [32][33]. - The total tendering amount for the State Grid in 2025 is projected to reach 454.4 billion CNY, reflecting a 4% year-on-year increase [32][39]. - The report emphasizes the importance of transformer technology and the expected supply-demand imbalance in the North American market, presenting opportunities for companies with strong delivery capabilities [34][35].