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特朗普突然老实了!美国财长一番话暴露实情,中美谈判确实不简单
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 07:59
Group 1 - The recent suspension of 24% tariffs between the US and China for 90 days reflects a subtle economic power struggle between the two nations, with only a 10% base tariff remaining [1][3] - US Treasury Secretary's criticism of China's economy as "the most unbalanced" and labeling it a "non-market economy" raises questions about the validity of such claims, especially given the implications of subsidized pricing on the global economy [1][3] - The US government's dual standards are evident as it demands companies like Nvidia to pay 15% of their revenue from chip sales in China to obtain export licenses, highlighting inconsistencies in its stance [3] Group 2 - The economic pressures faced by the US are underscored by rising consumer prices, with a 4.9% year-on-year increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in July 2025, where Chinese goods accounted for 30% of this increase [3][15] - The potential impact of reinstating the 24% tariffs could lead to a 40% price increase on toys during the Christmas season, as warned by Walmart's CEO, indicating significant consumer burden [3] - The Iowa Soybean Association's letter to the Treasury Secretary reveals that each day of delayed tariff cancellation could result in five farm bankruptcies, illustrating the agricultural sector's distress [3] Group 3 - The effectiveness of US technology sanctions has not met expectations, with companies like SMIC meeting 80% of domestic demand, and US firms like Ford being adversely affected by sanctions on Chinese renewable energy companies [5] - China's strategic resilience is highlighted by its refusal to concede on core interests, maintaining a strong position compared to other G20 nations that have made concessions [7] - China's potential export controls on rare earth elements could significantly impact US military supply chains, particularly affecting the production of the F-35 fighter jet [7][8] Group 4 - The recent approval of the C919 aircraft's EU certification poses a competitive threat to Boeing, indicating a shift in the aviation manufacturing landscape [10] - China's non-tariff countermeasures, including data security reviews and key technology export controls, represent a strategic arsenal that could target critical US industries [10] - The postponement of tariffs provides US companies with much-needed certainty for long-term supply chain planning, contrasting with the more aggressive rhetoric from the US government [15] Group 5 - The decline in China's export share to the US, from 19% in 2018 to 10.7% in 2025, signals a significant shift in trade dynamics, suggesting a need for the US to reassess its negotiation strategies [16] - The upcoming 90-day truce is viewed as the beginning of a new round of negotiations, with ongoing tensions in technology and trade expected to escalate [12][16]